Login Register
14.11.2026 20:30
Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.9%
1.70 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.20 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cali Win 34.1%
Draw 30.1%
Deportes Tolima Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali1.15
Deportes Tolima1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
D W D W D
6 GF / 1 GA
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
W W L L L
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
15
BTTS Yes
24
11
Over 2.5
23
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 39 matches
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 53 matches
Deportivo Cali Statistic Deportes Tolima
17 Wins 21
14 Draws 14
8 Losses 18
48 Goals For 65
26 Goals Against 54
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
15 BTTS Yes 24
25 Over 1.5 34
11 Over 2.5 23
4 Over 3.5 12
19 Clean Sheets 18
11 Failed To Score 18
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.66
12.08 Total Shots 13.17
4.22 Corners 4.94
50.2% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportes Tolima arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Deportes Tolima. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

Deportivo Cali are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Steven Rodríguez (11 goals), Eduard Bello (8 goals), Johan Martínez (5 goals), with creative support from Johan Martínez (9 assists), Steven Rodríguez (3 assists), Eduard Bello (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportes Tolima Analysis

Deportes Tolima approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 31 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats with a 27:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luis Sandoval (8 goals), Adrián Parra (8 goals), Juan Torres (6 goals), with creative support from Luis Sandoval (5 assists), Adrián Parra (4 assists), Juan Torres (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali won 3 times, Deportes Tolima won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Deportivo Cali's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (69.9%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cali 4-2-3-1 / Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cali wins 3, draws 5, Deportes Tolima wins 7

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L W L W L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D D W W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W W D D W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W W L L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W L L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L W L W D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W D W D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D D W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W L L L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L W W L W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W L L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W W L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L L L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L W L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L D W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L W L L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W D W
Post season qualification