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03.10.2026 00:45
Estadio Deportivo Cali
Referee: J. A. Mayorga Londono
Deportivo Cali
Match Timeline
Alianza Valledupar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Ever Meza
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
41'
Jose Carlos Caldera
Deportivo Cali
🔄
46'
D. Quinones ↔ L. Palacios
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
47'
Emanuel Reynoso
Deportivo Cali
🟨
54'
Juan Viveros
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
55'
E. W. Meza Mercado ↔ W. Fernandez
Alianza Valledupar
⚽
61'
L. Palacios · Assist: W. Fernandez
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
64'
E. Reynoso ↔ Titi
Deportivo Cali
⚽
69'
J. Dinenno · Assist: J. Martinez
Deportivo Cali
🔄
71'
J. Martinez ↔ A. Manyoma
Deportivo Cali
🔄
71'
J. Munoz ↔ C. Villegas
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
71'
C. Vergara ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
73'
Carlos Bacca
Deportivo Cali
⚽
79'
J. C. Caldera Alvis · Assist: A. Manyoma
Deportivo Cali
🟨
80'
Eduar Esteban Restrepo
Alianza Valledupar
🟥
80'
Gustavo Cuéllar
Deportivo Cali
🟨
82'
Juan Dinenno
Deportivo Cali
🔄
82'
J. Lasso ↔ J. E. Perez Balcazar
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
83'
Jair Castillo
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
84'
J. Dinenno ↔ K. Sandoval
Deportivo Cali
🔄
84'
F. Viafara ↔ D. Giraldo
Deportivo Cali
🟨
86'
Leyner Palacios
Alianza Valledupar
⚽
90'
A. Manyoma · Assist: Titi
Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cali Win 76%
Draw 4.8%
Alianza Valledupar Win 19.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali1.36
Alianza Valledupar0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
W W W W D
9 GF / 2 GA
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
W L W W L
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
13
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
13
4.23
Shots on Goal
2.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 32 matches
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 31 matches
Deportivo Cali Statistic Alianza Valledupar
14 Wins 6
10 Draws 11
8 Losses 14
39 Goals For 25
24 Goals Against 49
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
13 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 12
4.23 Shots On Goal 2.93
12.27 Total Shots 11
4.37 Corners 4.13
50% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Cali's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Alianza Valledupar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Valledupar having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Cali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 27 points compared to Alianza Valledupar in 17 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Alianza Valledupar. Alianza Valledupar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

Deportivo Cali sit 9 with 27 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Rodríguez (10 goals), E. Bello (6 goals), A. Hurtado (5 goals), with creative support from J. Martínez (7 assists), S. Rodríguez (2 assists), E. Bello (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

Alianza Valledupar sit 17 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Pardo (4 goals), J. Muñoz (3 goals), C. Vergara (3 goals), with creative support from F. Pardo (3 assists), J. Lasso (3 assists), P. Franco (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali won 6 times, Alianza Valledupar won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Deportivo Cali's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cali 4-4-2 / Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cali wins 6, draws 5, Alianza Valledupar wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W L W D
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W D D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W L L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D L W W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D D W W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L L D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L W D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W D D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D W D D D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L L W L D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L W D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
L L D D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L D D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W L L W L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W W D L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L L D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L W W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D W D D L
Post season qualification