COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Referee: A. Moncada
Deportes Tolima
Match Timeline
Junior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
J. Sarmiento
Junior
37'
J. Hurtado · Assist: J. Hernandez
Deportes Tolima
45'
K. Florez · Assist: J. Hurtado
Deportes Tolima
🔄
46'
C. Trujillo ↔ H. E. Martinez Yepez
Deportes Tolima
🔄
46'
J. Sarmiento ↔ Y. Chara
Junior
🔄
46'
F. S. Angel Bernal ↔ G. Celis
Junior
🟨
49'
J. Hurtado
Deportes Tolima
🔄
59'
K. Florez ↔ A. Parra Osorio
Deportes Tolima
🔄
59'
E. Valencia ↔ J. Valencia
Deportes Tolima
🔄
67'
C. Barrios ↔ J. Canchimbo
Junior
🔄
68'
J. Hurtado ↔ C. Arrieta
Deportes Tolima
🔄
72'
K. Perez ↔ D. Caicedo
Junior
79'
G. Paiva · Assist: D. Caicedo
Junior
🔄
86'
L. Sandoval ↔ S. P. Barbosa Gomez
Deportes Tolima
🟨
90'
J. Canchimbo
Junior
🟨
90+4'
G. Paiva
Junior
🔄
90+1'
J. Rios ↔ J. D. Munive
Junior

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
2.15
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.23
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Deportes Tolima Win 66.3%
Draw 5.9%
Junior Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Tolima1.25
Junior1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
Junior Junior
WLDWL
43 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.39
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
15
4.45
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 33 matches
Junior Junior 31 matches
Deportes Tolima Statistic Junior
14 Wins 14
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 11
41 Goals For 43
29 Goals Against 39
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 25
11 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 8
4.45 Shots On Goal 4.23
12.24 Total Shots 12.68
4.67 Corners 4.77
56.2% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Junior. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Deportes Tolima Analysis

Deportes Tolima arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 37 points after 23 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 31:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Junior Analysis

Placed 2 with 44 points from 25 outings, Junior continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 38:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 8 times, Junior won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1 / Junior 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportes Tolima wins 8, draws 2, Junior wins 5
Stats
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
Junior Junior
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
1 Corner Kicks 7
14 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
421 Total passes 621
366 Passes accurate 549
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Junior
Formation
Deportes Tolima
J. Martinez
J. Martinez
D. Rivera
D. Rivera
E. Herrera
E. Herrera
J. Pena
J. Pena
Y. Suarez
Y. Suarez
J. Rios
J. Rios
F. S. Angel Bernal
F. S. Angel Bernal
C. Barrios
C. Barrios
J. Sarmiento
J. Sarmiento
K. Perez
K. Perez
G. Paiva
G. Paiva
M. Ortega
M. Ortega
J. Mosquera
J. Mosquera
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
A. Angulo
A. Angulo
J. Hernandez
🎯
J. Hernandez
J. Hurtado
🎯
J. Hurtado
C. Trujillo
C. Trujillo
S. Guzman
S. Guzman
K. Florez
K. Florez
E. Valencia
E. Valencia
L. Sandoval
L. Sandoval
Junior 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
J. Martinez
G
5
D. Rivera
D
3
E. Herrera
D
98
J. Pena
D
26
Y. Suarez
D
14
J. Rios
↓ 90+1'
M
80
F. S. Angel Bernal
↓ 46'
M
77
C. Barrios
↓ 67'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
↓ 46' 🟨 25'
M
18
K. Perez
↓ 72'
M
9
G. Paiva
⚽ 79' 🟨 90+4'
F
Substitutes
12
J. L. Acosta Almeida
G
8
Y. Chara
↑ 46'
M
25
D. Caicedo
🎯 79' ↑ 72'
F
21
J. Canchimbo
↑ 67' 🟨 90'
F
28
G. Celis
↑ 46'
M
24
J. Pestana
D
6
D. Villarreal
M
15
J. D. Munive
↑ 90+1'
99
F. Correa
Deportes Tolima 4-4-2 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
13
M. Ortega
G
33
J. Mosquera
D
3
J. Angulo
D
2
A. Angulo
D
20
J. Hernandez
🎯 37'
D
7
J. Hurtado
⚽ 37' 🎯 45' ↓ 68' 🟨 49'
M
6
C. Trujillo
↓ 46'
M
32
S. Guzman
M
18
K. Florez
⚽ 45' ↓ 59'
M
8
E. Valencia
↓ 59'
F
9
L. Sandoval
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
23
G. J. Balanta Carabali
G
71
Y. Osorio
D
14
H. E. Martinez Yepez
↑ 46'
M
17
C. Arrieta
↑ 68'
D
24
A. Parra Osorio
↑ 59'
F
11
J. Valencia
↑ 59'
F
30
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
↑ 86'
D
19
J. Santiago
F
22
S. Urrutia
Last matches: Deportes Tolima
27.05.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
1
3
L
19.05.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
3
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
3
0
W
24.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pereira
2
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
2
2
D
01.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
4
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares
3
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Chico
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FC
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
America de Cali
1
1
D
Last matches: Junior
08.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
03.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
0
0
D
21.05.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
17.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
4
3
W
29.04.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Junior
Cucuta
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Junior
Llaneros
2
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Junior
Águilas Doradas
3
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Cali
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Junior
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Junior
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Junior
Independiente Medellin
0
2
L
H2H: Deportes Tolima vs Junior
26.07.26
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2
1
W
18.01.26
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
0
2
W
17.12.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
L
13.12.25
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
3
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
0
1
W
19.06.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
16.04.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
0
D
05.12.24
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
3
2
L
25.11.24
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
1
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
L
19.02.24
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
0
1
W
07.12.23
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
4
2
L
14.11.23
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
3
1
W
25.09.23
H2H
Junior
Deportes Tolima
0
1
W
Last matches: Deportes Tolima
16.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
3
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pereira
2
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
2
2
D
01.04.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
4
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares
3
1
W
19.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FC
2
0
W
12.03.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
O'Higgins
2
0
W
02.03.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
27.02.26
CON
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Llaneros
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Alianza Valledupar
2
0
W
17.12.25
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
L
08.12.25
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FC
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pri
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
1
0
W
H2H at home: Deportes Tolima
26.07.26
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2
1
W
17.12.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
L
19.06.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2
0
W
16.04.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
0
D
25.11.24
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
1
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
L
14.11.23
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
3
1
W
Last matches: Junior
08.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
4
L
17.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
29.04.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Junior
Cucuta
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Junior
Águilas Doradas
3
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Junior
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Junior
Independiente Medellin
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Junior
Jaguares
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
L
03.02.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Pereira
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pri
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
W
17.12.25
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
08.12.25
Pri
Junior
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
27.11.25
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
1
1
D
24.11.25
Pri
Junior
America de Cali
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Junior
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
H2H away: Junior
26.07.26
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2
1
L
17.12.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
W
19.06.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2
0
L
16.04.25
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
0
D
25.11.24
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
0
1
W
14.11.23
H2H
Deportes Tolima
Junior
3
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.05
Draw 2.91
Home 2.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.63
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 2.75 2.59
Over 3.0 2.67
Over 3.5 3.95
Over 4.5 6.48
Under 1.5 3.07
Under 1.75 2.69
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.88
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.30
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.10
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.30
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.76
Draw 2.99
Home 2.11
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.73
Draw 1.90
Home 2.76
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.33
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.07
Over 1.25 1.19
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.83
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 2.75 2.31
Over 3.0 2.82
Over 3.25 3.08
Over 3.5 3.34
Over 3.75 4.20
Over 4.0 5.75
Over 4.25 6.05
Over 4.5 6.40
Over 5.0 11.00
Over 5.5 14.50
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 6.75
Under 0.75 6.25
Under 1.0 5.75
Under 1.25 3.74
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 1.75 2.60
Under 2.0 2.26
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 2.75 1.51
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.15
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 3.00
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.10
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.38
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.23
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.50
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.10
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 1.75 2.38
Under 2.0 2.43
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W L D L W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L D L D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification