COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
08.08.2026 23:25
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Referee: Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa
Deportes Tolima
Match Timeline
Internacional de Bogota
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
A. Parra Osorio · Assist: J. Hurtado
Deportes Tolima
🟨
24'
Jorge Hurtado
Deportes Tolima
🔄
35'
J. Hurtado ↔ H. E. Martinez Yepez
Deportes Tolima
🟨
45+1'
Adrián Parra
Deportes Tolima
51'
E. Valencia · Assist: A. Parra Osorio
Deportes Tolima
🟨
53'
Yulián Gómez
Internacional de Bogota
🔄
59'
D. Duarte ↔ J. Caballero
Internacional de Bogota
61'
F. Sanguinetti · Assist: C. Dajome
Internacional de Bogota
🔄
68'
K. Florez ↔ J. Valencia
Deportes Tolima
🔄
68'
S. Guzman ↔ L. Sandoval
Deportes Tolima
🔄
68'
J. Hernandez ↔ J. Mosquera
Deportes Tolima
🔄
80'
L. Sanchez ↔ V. Reyes
Deportes Tolima
🔄
85'
D. Quinones ↔ R. Manjarres
Internacional de Bogota
🔄
87'
F. Sanguinetti ↔ Y. Garces
Internacional de Bogota
🔄
87'
C. Dajome ↔ Y. Garcia
Internacional de Bogota

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Tolima Win 78.9%
Draw 14.5%
Internacional de Bogota Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Tolima1.4
Internacional de Bogota1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
WWDLW
47 GF / 34 GA
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WLDWL
30 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
14
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
14
4.64
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 36 matches
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 24 matches
Deportes Tolima Statistic Internacional de Bogota
16 Wins 9
9 Draws 7
11 Losses 8
47 Goals For 30
34 Goals Against 37
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
14 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 7
15 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 7
4.64 Shots On Goal 4.48
12.39 Total Shots 12.7
4.61 Corners 4.26
56.3% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Deportes Tolima's more proactive style and Internacional de Bogota's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Internacional de Bogota. Internacional de Bogota arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Tolima expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Internacional de Bogota in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional de Bogota having the stronger overall control.

Deportes Tolima Analysis

So far, Deportes Tolima have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 31 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:17 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Hurtado (1 goals), Kelvin Florez (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Hurtado (1 assists), Junior Hernández (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

Internacional de Bogota approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 28 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats with a 26:26 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 9 times, Internacional de Bogota won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:8 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1 / Internacional de Bogota 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportes Tolima wins 9, draws 5, Internacional de Bogota wins 1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W D L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification