Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportes Tolima
38 matches
Bucaramanga
24 matches
| Deportes Tolima | Statistic | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 49 | Goals For | 33 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 12.58 | Total Shots | 13.04 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 4.39 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 52.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Tolima expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bucaramanga in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bucaramanga having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bucaramanga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Deportes Tolima sit 6 with 31 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:17 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Hurtado (2 goals), Junior Hernández (1 goals), Sebastián Guzmán (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Hurtado (1 assists), Junior Hernández (1 assists), Adrián Parra (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Bucaramanga have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Emerson Batalla (3 goals), Luciano Pons (1 goals), Fabián Sambueza (1 goals), with creative support from Luciano Pons (2 assists), Emerson Batalla (1 assists), Fabián Sambueza (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 3 times, Bucaramanga won 2 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Home
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Bucaramanga
Away
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|