BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas
Democrata GV
Match Timeline
Porto BA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Robert
Democrata GV
34'
Luan Rodrigues
Porto BA
37'
Tonhao
Democrata GV
73'
Luan Rodrigues · Assist: Luan Rodrigues
Porto BA
90'
Giovanni Carignano
Democrata GV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Democrata GV Win 78.2%
Draw 9.3%
Porto BA Win 12.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Democrata GV1.23
Porto BA1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Democrata GV Democrata GV
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Porto BA Porto BA
WLDWL
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Democrata GV Democrata GV 7 matches
Porto BA Porto BA 7 matches
Democrata GV Statistic Porto BA
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
7 Goals For 7
7 Goals Against 11
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Porto BA. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Porto BA having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Democrata GV have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Democrata GV Analysis

Democrata GV sit 3 with 10 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:7, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Porto BA Analysis

Placed 5 with 10 points from 7 outings, Porto BA continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cesinha (2 goals), Firmino (2 goals), Luan Rodrigues (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Democrata GV won 1 times, Porto BA won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Democrata GV's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
H2H summary: Democrata GV wins 1, draws 0, Porto BA wins 1
Last matches: Democrata GV
29.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
Last matches: Porto BA
14.06.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
H2H: Democrata GV vs Porto BA
25.05.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
L
Last matches: Democrata GV
29.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H at home: Democrata GV
25.05.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
Last matches: Porto BA
14.06.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
0
4
L
02.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
0
3
L
H2H away: Porto BA
25.05.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
L