SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Stora Valla
Referee: Erik Mattsson, Sweden
Degerfors IF
Match Timeline
Malmo FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Kenan Busuladžić
Malmo FF
🟨
40'
Otto Rosengren
Malmo FF
52'
Erik Botheim · Assist: Kenan Busuladžić
Malmo FF
🔄
55'
Nahom Girmai ↔ Olle Leonardsson
Degerfors IF
🟨
56'
Olle Leonardsson
Degerfors IF
🔄
70'
Bilal Hussein ↔ Alexander Lindgren
Degerfors IF
🔄
70'
Arman Taranis ↔ Dijan Vukojevic
Degerfors IF
🔄
70'
Kenan Busuladžić ↔ Theodor Lundbergh
Malmo FF
🔄
76'
Sebastian Ohlsson ↔ Erik Lindell
Degerfors IF
🔄
79'
Noah Åstrand John ↔ Anton Höög
Malmo FF
🔄
79'
Malte Palsson ↔ Bleon Kurtulus
Malmo FF
🔄
86'
Oscar Sjostrand ↔ Emmanuel Ekong
Malmo FF
🔄
86'
Jens Stryger Larsen ↔ Johan Karlsson
Malmo FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.9%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Degerfors IF Win 30.2%
Draw 23.1%
Malmo FF Win 46.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Degerfors IF1.58
Malmo FF1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
14
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 18 matches
Malmo FF Malmo FF 16 matches
Degerfors IF Statistic Malmo FF
6 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
27 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 27
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
14 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.9
11.7 Total Shots 13.6
4.3 Corners 4.7
48.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Malmo FF. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Degerfors IF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Malmo FF in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malmo FF having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Degerfors IF Analysis

Degerfors IF are currently 12 in the standings with 10 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:16 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Taranis (2 goals), M. Rafferty (2 goals), D. Sundgren (1 goals), with creative support from D. Sundgren (3 assists), N. Girmai (2 assists), J. Pikkarainen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF are currently 9 in the standings with 13 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by E. Botheim (7 goals), Adrian Skogmar (3 goals), S. Haksabanovic (3 goals), with creative support from S. Haksabanovic (4 assists), Otto Rosengren (2 assists), J. Stryger (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Degerfors IF won 1 times, Malmo FF won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:28 from Degerfors IF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
Predicted formations: Degerfors IF 4-4-2 / Malmo FF 4-1-3-2
Missing players: Degerfors IF 2, Malmo FF 2
H2H summary: Degerfors IF wins 1, draws 2, Malmo FF wins 8

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 47:26 21 42
L L D W W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
4 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
5 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
6 17 9 2 6 37:19 18 29
W L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
8 18 8 2 8 32:30 2 26
L W L W L
9 18 6 6 6 27:27 0 24
W W D L D
10 18 6 5 7 21:18 3 23
L L W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 16 5 5 6 24:23 1 20
W L L D L
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
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