SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Stora Valla
Referee: E. Mattsson
Degerfors IF
Match Timeline
Malmo FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Kenan Busuladžić
Malmo FF
🟨
40'
Otto Rosengren
Malmo FF
52'
E. Botheim · Assist: K. Busuladzic
Malmo FF
🔄
55'
N. Girmai ↔ O. Leonardsson
Degerfors IF
🟨
56'
Olle Leonardsson
Degerfors IF
🔄
70'
B. Hussein ↔ A. Lindgren
Degerfors IF
🔄
70'
A. Taranis ↔ D. Vukojevic
Degerfors IF
🔄
70'
K. Busuladzic ↔ T. Lundbergh
Malmo FF
🔄
76'
S. Ohlsson ↔ E. Lindell
Degerfors IF
🔄
79'
N. John ↔ A. Hoog
Malmo FF
🔄
79'
M. Palsson ↔ B. Kurtulus
Malmo FF
🔄
86'
O. Sjostrand ↔ E. Ekong
Malmo FF
🔄
86'
J. Stryger ↔ J. Karlsson
Malmo FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.9%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Degerfors IF Win 30.2%
Draw 23.1%
Malmo FF Win 46.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Degerfors IF1.58
Malmo FF1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
14
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 18 matches
Malmo FF Malmo FF 16 matches
Degerfors IF Statistic Malmo FF
6 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
27 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 27
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
14 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.9
11.7 Total Shots 13.6
4.3 Corners 4.7
48.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Malmo FF. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Degerfors IF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Malmo FF in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malmo FF having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Degerfors IF Analysis

Degerfors IF are currently 12 in the standings with 10 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:16 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Taranis (2 goals), M. Rafferty (2 goals), D. Sundgren (1 goals), with creative support from D. Sundgren (3 assists), N. Girmai (2 assists), J. Pikkarainen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF are currently 9 in the standings with 13 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by E. Botheim (7 goals), Adrian Skogmar (3 goals), S. Haksabanovic (3 goals), with creative support from S. Haksabanovic (4 assists), Otto Rosengren (2 assists), J. Stryger (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Degerfors IF won 0 times, Malmo FF won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:27 from Degerfors IF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
Predicted formations: Degerfors IF 4-4-2 / Malmo FF 4-1-3-2
Missing players: Degerfors IF 2, Malmo FF 2
H2H summary: Degerfors IF wins 0, draws 2, Malmo FF wins 8
Stats
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
Malmo FF Malmo FF
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 14
2 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
346 Total passes 583
278 Passes accurate 516
0.93 expected_goals 3.81
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Degerfors IF
Formation
Malmo FF
M. Igonen
M. Igonen
D. Sundgren
D. Sundgren
S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
S. Diatara
S. Diatara
N. Girmai
N. Girmai
B. Hussein
B. Hussein
K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
E. Barsoum
E. Barsoum
A. Taranis
A. Taranis
L. Fritzson
L. Fritzson
R. Olsen
R. Olsen
A. Djuric
A. Djuric
O. Rosengren
O. Rosengren
M. Palsson
M. Palsson
J. Stryger
J. Stryger
K. Busuladzic
🎯
K. Busuladzic
A. Skogmar
A. Skogmar
N. John
N. John
S. Haksabanovic
S. Haksabanovic
O. Sjostrand
O. Sjostrand
E. Botheim
E. Botheim
Degerfors IF 4-4-2
Starting XI
38
M. Igonen
G
6
D. Sundgren
D
7
S. Ohlsson
↓ 76'
D
16
S. Ohlsson
D
18
S. Diatara
D
22
N. Girmai
↓ 55'
M
8
B. Hussein
↓ 70'
M
4
K. Karlsson
M
20
E. Barsoum
M
17
A. Taranis
↓ 70'
F
14
L. Fritzson
F
Substitutes
25
R. Forsell
G
15
N. Moro
D
2
M. Diaby
D
19
A. Lindgren
↑ 70'
M
11
D. Vukojevic
↑ 70'
F
12
E. Lindell
↑ 76'
D
28
J. Hernandez
D
24
O. Leonardsson
↑ 55' 🟨 56'
F
21
A. Berisson
F
Malmo FF 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Olsen
G
5
A. Djuric
D
7
O. Rosengren
🟨 40'
D
44
M. Palsson
↓ 79'
D
17
J. Stryger
↓ 86'
M
40
K. Busuladzic
🎯 52' ↓ 70' 🟨 22'
M
37
A. Skogmar
M
23
N. John
↓ 79'
M
29
S. Haksabanovic
F
24
O. Sjostrand
↓ 86'
F
20
E. Botheim
⚽ 52'
F
Substitutes
27
J. Dahlin
G
6
Y. Karabelyov
M
11
E. Ekong
↑ 86'
M
45
A. Hoog
↑ 79'
M
19
C. Rosler
D
2
J. Karlsson
↑ 86'
D
32
D. T. Gudjohnsen
F
4
B. Kurtulus
↑ 79'
D
47
T. Lundbergh
↑ 70'
M
Last matches: Degerfors IF
12.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Lillestrom
3
2
W
31.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
23.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Gais
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Mjallby AIF
1
4
L
02.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
BK Hacken
1
1
D
27.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
23.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
2
1
W
17.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
0
1
L
12.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Halmstad
3
0
W
04.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Sirius
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
IFK Norrkoping
3
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
United Nordic
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
27.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sollentuna
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sirius
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
3
3
D
Last matches: Malmo FF
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Jeonbuk Motors
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
Genk
1
2
L
22.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Porto
1
2
L
H2H: Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF
04.07.26
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
4
L
23.09.23
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
2
L
05.06.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
5
0
L
05.03.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
1
L
06.11.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
29.05.22
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
2
L
21.08.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
3
0
L
17.07.21
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
5
L
Last matches: Degerfors IF
31.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
09.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Mjallby AIF
1
4
L
02.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
BK Hacken
1
1
D
23.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
2
1
W
17.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
0
1
L
04.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Sirius
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
IFK Norrkoping
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
United Nordic
1
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sollentuna
2
1
W
H2H at home: Degerfors IF
04.07.26
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
4
L
23.09.23
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
2
L
29.05.22
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
5
L
Last matches: Malmo FF
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Jeonbuk Motors
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
Genk
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Porto
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
02.10.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Plzen
0
3
L
28.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
12.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Copenhagen
0
5
L
22.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Rīgas FS
4
1
W
08.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Saburtalo
3
1
W
H2H away: Malmo FF
04.07.26
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
4
W
23.09.23
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
2
W
29.05.22
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
2
W
17.07.21
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
5
W

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 33:15 18 32
W D W W W
2 13 7 2 4 28:14 14 23
W W L L L
3 12 5 5 2 25:22 3 20
L L W D W
4 11 6 1 4 26:15 11 19
W W L L W
5 13 5 4 4 18:12 6 19
W D W L W
6 12 6 1 5 25:20 5 19
W W W L L
7 13 4 6 3 17:14 3 18
L L D D D
8 12 5 3 4 22:23 -1 18
W W L W D
9 12 5 3 4 16:18 -2 18
W W L W D
10 12 4 4 4 19:17 2 16
L D D D L
11 12 4 4 4 17:19 -2 16
L D D W W
12 12 4 1 7 14:17 -3 13
L W L W L
13 12 2 4 6 12:19 -7 10
L L D L D
14 12 2 4 6 14:28 -14 10
L L W D W
15 12 2 3 7 14:31 -17 9
W L D L L
16 12 1 3 8 10:26 -16 6
L L L W D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan

Missing Players

Degerfors IF 2 missing
-
S. Ohlsson
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Z. Salifu
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Malmo FF 2 missing
-
P. Jansson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Christiansen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT