BRAZIL › SERIE D

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Decisão

1 - 1

Treze

Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos

Decisão

Match Timeline

Treze

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 85.2%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 68%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 56.4%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	85.2%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	68%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.4%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Decisão Win 37.4%

Draw 14.8%

Treze Win 47.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Decisão1.17

Treze1.95

Recent Form (Last 5)

Decisão

WWDLW

10 GF / 15 GA

Treze

WLDWL

17 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.11

Average Goals Scored

2.13

1.67

Average Goals Conceded

1.25

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Decisão 9 matches

Treze 8 matches

Decisão	Statistic	Treze
3	Wins	5
1	Draws	1
5	Losses	2
10	Goals For	17
15	Goals Against	10
1.11	Avg Goals Scored	2.13
1.67	Avg Goals Conceded	1.25
5	BTTS Yes	5
7	Over 1.5	7
5	Over 2.5	5
2	Over 3.5	2
1	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	0
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Treze's more proactive style and Decisão's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Treze. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Treze having the stronger overall control. Treze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Decisão sit 6 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Decisão have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Decisão Analysis

Decisão sit 6 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tulio (8 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Treze Analysis

Treze come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Buba (4 goals), Jean Carlo (4 goals), Gustavo Petrocelli (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Decisão won 0 times, Treze won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Decisão's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)

H2H summary: Decisão wins 0, draws 1, Treze wins 1

Standings

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13:5	8	22	W W D W D
2	Nacional AM	10	6	2	2	15:9	6	20	W D W L W
3	Sao Raimundo	10	3	4	3	10:7	3	13	L W D L L
4	Monte Roraima	10	2	4	4	11:14	-3	10	L L D W W
5	Manaus FC	10	2	4	4	8:13	-5	10	L D D W L
6	GAS	10	1	2	7	8:17	-9	5	W L L L D

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Guaporé	10	6	4	0	19:9	10	22	D W W D W
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	24	18	W W D D W
3	Araguaína	10	5	3	2	31:9	22	18	W L D L W
4	Independência	10	4	3	3	17:10	7	15	D W W W L
5	Galvez	10	3	1	6	14:31	-17	10	L L L W L
6	Humaitá	10	0	0	10	4:50	-46	0	L L L L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gama	10	8	2	0	23:6	17	26	D W W W W
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15	W D W L L
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11:10	1	14	W D W L L
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	D D L D W
5	Primavera MG	10	3	3	4	10:13	-3	12	L D L W W
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3:20	-17	1	L L L D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Capital Brasilia	10	7	2	1	16:6	10	23	W W D W W
2	Goiatuba EC	10	5	4	1	13:7	6	19	W D D L D
3	Ceilândia	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12	D D W L L
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10:9	1	12	D D D W L
5	União Rondonópolis	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9	L D L W D
6	CEOV Operário	10	1	2	7	7:16	-9	5	L L D L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Trem	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20	W L W W L
2	Águia de Marabá	10	5	3	2	20:11	9	18	L W W L W
3	Imperatriz	10	4	3	3	15:10	5	15	W W L L W
4	Tuna Luso	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	L W D W L
5	Tocantinópolis	10	3	3	4	18:18	0	12	W L L W W
6	Oratório	10	1	1	8	12:29	-17	4	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 6

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Iguatu	10	5	5	0	14:7	7	20	W D D D W
2	Maracanã	10	5	4	1	12:6	6	19	W W W D D
3	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11:13	-2	14	W D L L W
4	Sampaio Correa	10	3	4	3	12:6	6	13	L W W W D
5	Moto Club	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9	L L L D L
6	IAPE	10	0	4	6	10:20	-10	4	L L D D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 7

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Ferroviario	10	6	3	1	15:7	8	21	W D W W D
2	Piauí	10	5	2	3	14:11	3	17	W W L W D
3	Fluminense PI	10	3	5	2	12:9	3	14	L D W D L
4	Altos	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	W D L L L
5	Tirol/CEFAT	10	2	4	4	10:10	0	10	L D W D W
6	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	10	1	4	5	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 8

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	ABC	10	7	2	1	15:6	9	23	W W D W W
2	America-RN	10	6	3	1	14:3	11	21	W W D W D
3	Maguary PE	10	3	4	3	8:5	3	13	L W D D D
4	Central SC	10	3	4	3	8:7	1	13	W L D D L
5	Sousa	10	3	1	6	4:11	-7	10	L L D L W
6	Laguna	10	0	2	8	3:20	-17	2	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Treze Away	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17	L D L W W
1	CSA	10	6	3	1	25:8	17	21	W D D W W
1	Uberlandia	10	5	3	2	12:8	4	18	L D D D W
1	Democrata GV	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17	D W W L L
1	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16:6	10	21	W W W D L
1	XV de Piracicaba	10	4	5	1	14:9	5	17	L D D W W
1	Santa Catarina	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19	W W W W L
1	Blumenau	10	6	1	3	14:8	6	19	L W W L D
2	Sergipe	10	4	3	3	15:13	2	15	D L L D W
2	Juazeirense	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17	W D D L L
2	Ipatinga	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15	W L W D D
2	Tombense	10	4	5	1	13:6	7	17	D W D W D
2	Água Santa	10	5	2	3	16:8	8	17	L W W D D
2	Noroeste	10	4	3	3	12:7	5	15	W D L W W
2	Cianorte	10	5	1	4	9:8	1	16	W L D W L
2	Marcílio Dias	10	4	4	2	9:5	4	16	D L D W W
3	Serra Branca	10	3	6	1	12:8	4	15	D D W L D
3	ASA	10	4	4	2	11:7	4	16	D D D W W
3	CRAC	10	3	4	3	7:7	0	13	D L D W D
3	Vitória ES	10	4	3	3	12:8	4	15	D D W D W
3	Portuguesa RJ	10	3	5	2	14:9	5	14	L D D W D
3	Velo Clube	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13	W L D L D
3	Cascavel	10	4	3	3	9:4	5	15	L D W L W
3	Independiente FSJ	10	3	4	3	3:4	-1	13	D L D L D
4	Lagarto	10	3	4	3	14:15	-1	13	W W D D D
4	Jacuipense	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13	D D D W W
4	Ivinhema	10	3	4	3	9:12	-3	13	D D L L D
4	Rio Branco ES	10	3	4	3	14:12	2	13	W L L D D
4	América RJ	10	3	3	4	11:21	-10	12	W D L W L
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	10	3	3	4	8:10	-2	12	L W D L L
4	São Luiz	10	4	3	3	11:9	2	15	W D L W W
4	Sao Jose	10	3	4	3	6:8	-2	13	W W D D W
5	Retrô	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12	W D D W L
5	CSE	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9	L D D L L
5	ABECAT Ouvidorense	10	3	3	4	8:9	-1	12	W W W L D
5	Porto BA	10	3	1	6	9:21	-12	10	L L L D L
5	Madureira	10	3	2	5	11:16	-5	11	W L D L W
5	Nova Iguaçu	10	3	3	4	7:10	-3	12	W L W W D
5	Joinville	10	4	3	3	10:8	2	15	L W D L L
5	Brasil DE Pelotas	10	2	4	4	9:12	-3	10	D L D D L
6	Decisão Home	10	2	2	6	10:17	-7	8	L D W L L
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	10	1	2	7	5:20	-15	5	L D D L L
6	Operario Ferroviario	10	2	3	5	9:12	-3	9	L W L W L
6	Real Noroeste	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8	D D D D W
6	Pouso Alegre	10	2	1	7	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W
6	CFRJ / Maricá	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L W D L L
6	Guarany de Bagé	10	1	1	8	2:18	-16	4	L L L L W
6	Azuriz	10	2	3	5	7:11	-4	9	D W L W L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)