BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos
Decisão
Match Timeline
Treze
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Matheus Barbosa
Treze
🟥
45'
M. Barbosa
Treze
🟨
45'
M. Barbosa
Treze
51'
Rodrigo Leal
Decisão

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Decisão Win 37.4%
Draw 14.8%
Treze Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Decisão1.17
Treze1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Decisão Decisão
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Treze Treze
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Decisão Decisão 9 matches
Treze Treze 8 matches
Decisão Statistic Treze
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
10 Goals For 17
15 Goals Against 10
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Treze's more proactive style and Decisão's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Treze. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Treze having the stronger overall control. Treze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Decisão sit 6 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Decisão have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Decisão Analysis

Decisão sit 6 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tulio (8 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Treze Analysis

Treze come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Buba (4 goals), Jean Carlo (4 goals), Gustavo Petrocelli (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Decisão won 0 times, Treze won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Decisão's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
H2H summary: Decisão wins 0, draws 1, Treze wins 1
Last matches: Decisão
14.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Treze
26.07.26
Ser
Treze
Sao Jose
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Treze
Sao Jose
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
H2H: Decisão vs Treze
06.06.26
H2H
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D
10.05.26
H2H
Treze
Decisão
2
0
L
Last matches: Decisão
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H at home: Decisão
06.06.26
H2H
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D
Last matches: Treze
18.07.26
Ser
Treze
Sao Jose
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
0
4
L
H2H away: Treze
06.06.26
H2H
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D