BRAZIL SERIE D
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Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Decisão Win 33.3%
Draw 14.5%
Treze Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Decisão1.17
Treze1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Decisão Decisão
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Treze Treze
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Decisão Decisão 9 matches
Treze Treze 8 matches
Decisão Statistic Treze
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
10 Goals For 17
15 Goals Against 10
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Treze's more proactive style and Decisão's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Treze. Decisão have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Treze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Decisão sit 6 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Treze having the stronger overall control.

Decisão Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 6, Decisão still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 6:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tulio (6 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Treze Analysis

Treze approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 16 points after 8 outings. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 17:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Buba (4 goals), Jean Carlo (4 goals), Gustavo Petrocelli (3 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Decisão won 0 times, Treze won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Decisão's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
H2H summary: Decisão wins 0, draws 0, Treze wins 1
Last matches: Decisão
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Treze
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
1
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
H2H: Decisão vs Treze
10.05.26
H2H
Treze
Decisão
2
0
L
Last matches: Decisão
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Treze
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
0
4
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1
Treze Away
8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D