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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
17.10.2026 11:00
Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium
Referee: Kun Ai, China
Dalian Zhixing
Match Timeline
Sichuan Jiuniu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
N. Stanciu · Assist: Luo Jing
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
33'
Bi Jinhao ↔ Song Yue
Dalian Zhixing
⚽
42'
Luo Jing · Assist: Feng Boxuan
Dalian Zhixing
⚽
52'
F. Acheampong
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
57'
H. Shen ↔ Dai Wai-Tsun
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
60'
Zhang Huachen ↔ Huang Shan
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
60'
P. Delgado ↔ Yang Mingrui
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
66'
Luo Jing ↔ Feng Jing
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
79'
D. Owusu-Sekyere ↔ Xia Dalong
Sichuan Jiuniu
⚽
90+1'
Dai Wai-Tsun · Assist: A. Ademi
Sichuan Jiuniu

Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
1.63 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.7%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dalian Zhixing Win 76.8%
Draw 4.5%
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dalian Zhixing1.58
Sichuan Jiuniu1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WWDLW
43 GF / 45 GA
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WLDWL
36 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
18
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
14
4.85
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 29 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 27 matches
Dalian Zhixing Statistic Sichuan Jiuniu
13 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
12 Losses 14
43 Goals For 36
45 Goals Against 47
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
18 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 8
4.85 Shots On Goal 4.19
13.78 Total Shots 12.15
5.59 Corners 4.78
46.7% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sichuan Jiuniu. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Dalian Zhixing arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to Sichuan Jiuniu in 11 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dalian Zhixing expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sichuan Jiuniu in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sichuan Jiuniu having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Dalian Zhixing arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 40 points after 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, while the 38:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cephas Malele (6 goals), F. Acheampong (6 goals), N. Stanciu (5 goals), with creative support from N. Stanciu (4 assists), Cephas Malele (3 assists), Mao Weijie (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Sichuan Jiuniu have collected 29 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 36:47 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Wesley Moraes (12 goals), Eden Karzev (4 goals), Albion Ademi (3 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (5 assists), Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere (3 assists), Dai Wai Tsun (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Dalian Zhixing won 1 times, Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Dalian Zhixing's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1 / Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Dalian Zhixing wins 1, draws 2, Sichuan Jiuniu wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation