CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
D. Puerto Montt
Match Timeline
Antofagasta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
J. Monreal
Antofagasta
🟨
31'
D. Rojas
Antofagasta
🟨
35'
V. Aros
Antofagasta
38'
R. Paredes
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
39'
V. Aros
Antofagasta
🟥
39'
V. Aros
Antofagasta
🔄
43'
D. Rojas ↔ S. Leyton
Antofagasta
56'
R. Paredes
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
59'
J. Monreal
Antofagasta
🔄
64'
B. Taiva ↔ C. Vargas
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
66'
M. Riveros
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
69'
J. Cardenas ↔ N. Mancilla
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
75'
R. Paredes ↔ J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
75'
K. Gonzalez ↔ B. Nieto
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
78'
B. Hurtado ↔ J. D. Bandez
Antofagasta
🔄
78'
J. Monreal ↔ K. Campillay
Antofagasta
🔄
78'
A. Cuadra ↔ M. Gallegos Panozzo
Antofagasta
🟨
83'
A. Morales
D. Puerto Montt
85'
S. Negrete
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
90+6'
J. D. Bandez
Antofagasta
90'
J. D. Bandez
Antofagasta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
D. Puerto Montt Win 48.4%
Draw 13.7%
Antofagasta Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Puerto Montt1.11
Antofagasta1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WWDLW
25 GF / 22 GA
Antofagasta Antofagasta
WLDWL
34 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 21 matches
Antofagasta Antofagasta 21 matches
D. Puerto Montt Statistic Antofagasta
10 Wins 11
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 4
25 Goals For 34
22 Goals Against 21
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Antofagasta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. D. Puerto Montt have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Antofagasta having the stronger overall control.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

With 23 points from 15 games and a place of 7, D. Puerto Montt still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 17:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Flores (5 goals), M. Clerveaux (3 goals), L. Vazquez (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Antofagasta Analysis

Antofagasta come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 23 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Monreal (7 goals), B. Hurtado (5 goals), M. Gallegos Panozzo (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, D. Puerto Montt won 2 times, Antofagasta won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from D. Puerto Montt's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: D. Puerto Montt wins 2, draws 1, Antofagasta wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 11 8 3 39:22 17 41
W W D D D
2 21 10 8 3 38:23 15 38
L W D D D
3 22 10 7 5 40:22 18 37
W W D D W
4 22 9 8 5 32:26 6 35
W L W D D
5 22 10 5 7 38:37 1 35
L W W D W
6 22 10 4 8 29:28 1 34
L W W W L
7 22 8 7 7 32:31 1 31
D W D W D
8 22 9 4 9 23:27 -4 31
L L D L D
9 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
10 22 8 6 8 31:35 -4 30
L L W L D
11 22 7 7 8 36:33 3 28
W L D D L
12 22 5 10 7 31:27 4 25
L W D W D
13 22 5 9 8 20:32 -12 24
D W L L D
14 22 5 6 11 15:37 -22 21
D L L W D
15 22 3 8 11 24:37 -13 17
D L L W D
16 22 2 6 14 19:37 -18 12
W W L L D