21.05.2026 02:00
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: F. Vejar
Cusco
Match Timeline
Independiente Medellin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
F. Fydriszewski · Assist: Yony Gonzalez
Independiente Medellin
🔄
46'
J. Bolivar ↔ M. Ruidias
Cusco
🔄
46'
D. Soto ↔ Herrera Joel
Cusco
🟨
51'
J. Ortiz
Independiente Medellin
🟨
55'
G. Choi
Cusco
🟨
60'
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
🔄
63'
D. Catano ↔ A. Serna
Independiente Medellin
🟨
67'
A. Serna
Independiente Medellin
🔄
70'
J. Manzaneda ↔ N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
71'
O. Valenzuela ↔ G. Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
76'
J. Zevallos ↔ J. D. Ali Gutierrez
Cusco
🔄
78'
D. Moreno ↔ B. Perlaza
Independiente Medellin
🔄
78'
F. Fydriszewski ↔ H. Palacios
Independiente Medellin
78'
G. Choi · Assist: I. Colman
Cusco
🔄
89'
F. Fabra ↔ F. Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
🔄
89'
Yony Gonzalez ↔ L. Escorcia
Independiente Medellin
90'
B. Perlaza · Assist: F. Chaverra
Independiente Medellin
90'
A. Fuentes · Assist: L. Colitto
Cusco
90'
A. Serna · Assist: H. Loboa
Independiente Medellin

Cusco vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
57.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 48%
Draw 13.3%
Independiente Medellin Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.13
Independiente Medellin1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
WWDLW
21 GF / 30 GA
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WLDWL
38 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
12
BTTS Yes
20
9
Over 2.5
16
4.21
Shots on Goal
4.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 20 matches
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 28 matches
Cusco Statistic Independiente Medellin
6 Wins 11
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
21 Goals For 38
30 Goals Against 35
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
12 BTTS Yes 20
14 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 3
4.21 Shots On Goal 4.62
11.53 Total Shots 14.19
3.26 Corners 5.38
55.7% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 0 times, Independiente Medellin won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Cusco's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Independiente Medellin 3-4-3
H2H summary: Cusco wins 0, draws 0, Independiente Medellin wins 2

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
W L D D W
3 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W W L D
4
Cusco Home
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1
L L D L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals