BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pantanal
Referee: P. Zanovelli
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Vitor Mendes
Cuiaba
🟨
17'
Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
28'
Jean Carlos · Assist: Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🟨
42'
Luis Fellipe
Goias
🔄
46'
Wesley Dias ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Pepe ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Kadu ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Goias
🔄
46'
Anselmo Ramon ↔ Cadu
Goias
🔄
63'
H. Pedro ↔ Fabio Gomes
Cuiaba
🔄
63'
Eliel ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
69'
Jean Carlos ↔ Luquinhas
Goias
🔄
69'
Lourenco ↔ Juninho
Goias
73'
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
78'
Lucas Lima ↔ Wellington Rato
Goias
🔄
82'
Jean Dias ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 36.4%
Draw 18%
Goias Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba1.01
Goias0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
22 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
8
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
4.17
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 23 matches
Goias Goias 23 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Goias
7 Wins 9
11 Draws 5
5 Losses 9
20 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 28
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 8
4.17 Shots On Goal 3.57
12.48 Total Shots 11.17
5.09 Corners 4.35
47.9% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Goias. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 15 with 26 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 16:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 9 with 32 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 22:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 5 times, Goias won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Cuiaba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-2-1 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 5, draws 3, Goias wins 7

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10
Goias Away
25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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