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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Stadion pod Vrmcem

Bokelj vs Dečić Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bokelj Win 59.8%
Draw 9.8%
Dečić Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bokelj0.86
Dečić1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bokelj Bokelj
WWDLW
13 GF / 14 GA
Dečić Dečić
WLDWL
16 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
3
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bokelj Bokelj 16 matches
Dečić Dečić 14 matches
Bokelj Statistic Dečić
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
13 Goals For 16
14 Goals Against 13
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
3 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dečić having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Dečić. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bokelj Analysis

Bokelj arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dečić Analysis

Placed 4 with 15 points from 9 outings, Dečić continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bokelj won 4 times, Dečić won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Bokelj's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
H2H summary: Bokelj wins 4, draws 3, Dečić wins 7

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 5 3 3 12:7 5 18
W D W W W
2 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
3 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
W D D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W D
5 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L D L D L
7 11 3 3 5 10:17 -7 12
D D L L W
8 11 2 5 4 12:18 -6 11
D D L D L
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 10 1 4 5 6:13 -7 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga