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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
23.10.2026 13:30

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Faisaly FC Win 23.8%
Draw 15.2%
Al-Nassr Win 61.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Faisaly FC1.23
Al-Nassr1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
WLDWL
24 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
9
3.13
Shots on Goal
6.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 9 matches
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 12 matches
Al-Faisaly FC Statistic Al-Nassr
2 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 4
11 Goals For 24
16 Goals Against 15
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
3.13 Shots On Goal 6.88
8.38 Total Shots 16.5
2.38 Corners 8.5
48.3% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Al-Nassr's more proactive style and Al-Faisaly FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Nassr. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Faisaly FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Al-Nassr in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Nassr having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Al-Nassr carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 19 points while Al-Faisaly FC sit 15 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Al-Faisaly FC Analysis

With 6 points from 8 games and a place of 15, Al-Faisaly FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alexandre Mendy (4 goals), T. Bongonda (2 goals), C. Bassogog (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandre Mendy (1 assists), C. Bassogog (1 assists), Andrei Girotto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Nassr Analysis

Al-Nassr come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 19 points after 8 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Cristiano Ronaldo (3 goals), S. Mané (2 goals), Ângelo (2 goals), with creative support from João Félix (3 assists), S. Mané (2 assists), Ângelo (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Al-Faisaly FC won 3 times, Al-Nassr won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Al-Faisaly FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Al-Faisaly FC 4-1-4-1 / Al-Nassr 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al-Faisaly FC wins 3, draws 3, Al-Nassr wins 7

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 8 5 1 2 14:7 7 16
D W W W L
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 8 3 3 2 12:12 0 12
D D D W L
8 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
9 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L D W L W
10 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
11 9 1 6 2 6:11 -5 9
W D D D L
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 9 1 3 5 7:17 -10 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 3 5 3:15 -12 3
L L L D L
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1