BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pantanal
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Joao Basso · Assist: Pepe
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Nicolas ↔ Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Luciano Castan ↔ Willean Lepo
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Thiaguinho ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
62'
Eliel ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
64'
Romarinho ↔ R. Otero
Criciuma
🔄
69'
Eric Melo ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🔄
77'
Marcinho ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
🔄
81'
Pepe ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
81'
Raylan ↔ Nino Paraiba
Cuiaba
🔄
81'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🟨
85'
David
Cuiaba
90'
Caue Santos
Criciuma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 13%
Draw 23.6%
Criciuma Win 63.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.7
Criciuma1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 6 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 6 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Criciuma
1 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 8
3 Goals Against 6
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.67
12 Total Shots 13.17
2 Corners 6.17
46.7% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Criciuma. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 10 points while Cuiaba sit 17 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 7 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 3:3, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hernandes (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), with creative support from Hernandes (1 assists), Eliel (1 assists), Weverson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Placed 4 with 10 points from 6 outings, Criciuma continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), Fellipe Mateus (1 goals), with creative support from Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, Criciuma won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Cuiaba's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-1-2 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 4, draws 2, Criciuma wins 1
Stats
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Criciuma Criciuma
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 2
17 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
396 Total passes 443
322 Passes accurate 370
0.82 expected_goals 0.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cuiaba
Formation
Criciuma
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
Eric Melo
Eric Melo
Raylan
Raylan
David Miguel
David Miguel
Raul
Raul
Marlon
Marlon
Eliel
Eliel
Pepe
🎯
Pepe
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Airton
Airton
Ruan Carvalho
Ruan Carvalho
Bruno Alves
Bruno Alves
Luciano Castan
Luciano Castan
Marcinho
Marcinho
Gui Lobo
Gui Lobo
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Marcelo Hermes
Marcelo Hermes
Romarinho
Romarinho
Fellipe Mateus
Fellipe Mateus
Nicolas
Nicolas
Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
13
Joao Basso
⚽ 21'
D
5
Calebe Costa
D
14
Eric Melo
↓ 69'
D
37
Raylan
↓ 81'
M
88
David Miguel
🟨 85'
M
30
Raul
M
6
Marlon
M
11
Eliel
↓ 62'
F
8
Pepe
🎯 21' ↓ 81'
F
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
53
Weverson
↑ 81'
M
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
91
Luis Soares
↑ 69'
D
2
Nino Paraiba
↑ 81'
D
7
Y. Asad
F
17
Victor Barbara
M
49
Joao Araujo
29
Vinicius Peixoto
↑ 81'
F
41
Kauan Cristtyan
↑ 62'
F
Criciuma 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
32
Airton
G
43
Ruan Carvalho
D
34
Bruno Alves
D
4
Luciano Castan
↓ 46'
D
6
Marcinho
↓ 77'
M
8
Gui Lobo
M
50
Thiaguinho
↓ 46'
M
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
11
Romarinho
↓ 64'
F
7
Fellipe Mateus
F
9
Nicolas
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
70
Pedro Santos
G
91
R. Otero
↑ 64'
M
13
Waguininho
↑ 46'
F
41
Jean Irmer
M
97
Willean Lepo
↑ 46'
D
10
Jhonata Robert
↑ 46'
F
2
Leo Mana
D
31
Hiago Alves
M
88
Caue Santos
⚽ 90' ↑ 77'
21
Joao Carlos
F
20
Bidu
F
Last matches: Cuiaba
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: Criciuma
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H: Cuiaba vs Criciuma
02.05.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.11.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
0
W
29.07.25
H2H
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
0
L
31.08.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
2
1
W
09.06.24
H2H
Criciuma
Cuiaba
2
5
W
31.08.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
0
0
D
27.04.19
H2H
Criciuma
Cuiaba
0
1
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
02.05.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.11.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
2
1
W
31.08.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
0
0
D
Last matches: Criciuma
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
02.05.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.11.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
0
L
31.08.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
2
1
L
31.08.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Criciuma
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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