RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
21.04.2026 16:45
VEB Arena
Referee: I. Abrasimov
CSKA Moscow
Match Timeline
FC Rostov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Tamerlan Musaev
CSKA Moscow
⚽
36'
Ronaldo
FC Rostov
🔄
46'
D. Kozlov ↔ Henrique Carmo
CSKA Moscow
🟨
51'
Moisés
CSKA Moscow
⚽
57'
T. Musaev · Assist: D. Krugovoy
CSKA Moscow
🟨
62'
Aleksey Mironov
FC Rostov
🔄
67'
H. Hankic ↔ D. Odoevski
FC Rostov
🔄
75'
E. Golenkov ↔ K. Bayramyan
FC Rostov
🔄
75'
D. Chistyakov ↔ D. Semenchuk
FC Rostov
🔄
77'
T. Musaev ↔ M. Voronov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
79'
Ronaldo ↔ A. Langovich
FC Rostov
🔄
86'
M. Gajic ↔ M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA Moscow Win 83.9%
Draw 0%
FC Rostov Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Moscow1.32
FC Rostov0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WWDLW
37 GF / 27 GA
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WLDWL
19 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
5
4.48
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 25 matches
FC Rostov FC Rostov 25 matches
CSKA Moscow Statistic FC Rostov
13 Wins 6
4 Draws 8
8 Losses 11
37 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 27
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 5
8 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 9
4.48 Shots On Goal 3.68
13.96 Total Shots 11.8
5.64 Corners 4.2
56.8% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around CSKA Moscow's more proactive style and FC Rostov's more cautious structure. CSKA Moscow appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward FC Rostov. CSKA Moscow arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 43 points compared to FC Rostov in 10 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. FC Rostov arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Moscow expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Rostov in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Rostov having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Rostov. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

CSKA Moscow sit 6 with 43 points after 25 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 36:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Krugovoy (5 goals), Ivan Oblyakov (5 goals), Kirill Glebov (5 goals), with creative support from D. Krugovoy (5 assists), Ivan Oblyakov (5 assists), M. Kislyak (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without I. Akinfeev, M. Lukin, K. Glebov, M. Kislyak, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

FC Rostov Analysis

FC Rostov sit 10 with 26 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 19:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ronaldo (4 goals), Timur Suleymanov (4 goals), Aleksey Mironov (2 goals), with creative support from Egor Golenkov (3 assists), M. Mohebi (2 assists), Kirill Shchetinin (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 6 times, FC Rostov won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:10 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-2-3-1 / FC Rostov 3-5-2
Missing players: CSKA Moscow 4, FC Rostov 1
H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 6, draws 7, FC Rostov wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation