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WORLD › FRIENDLIES
30.09.2026 01:00
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: Jon Freemon, USA
Mexico
Match Timeline
Peru
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Marcos López
Peru
⚽
26'
J. Velez
Peru
🟨
28'
Jairo Vélez
Peru
🟨
45+2'
Renzo Garcés
Peru
⚽
49'
V. Guzman · Assist: D. Garcia
Mexico
🟨
52'
Mateo Chávez
Mexico
🔄
61'
V. Guzman ↔ D. Campillo Del Campo
Mexico
🔄
61'
D. Garcia ↔ L. Romo
Mexico
🔄
61'
G. Berterame ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
🔄
68'
P. Magallanes ↔ J. Vidales
Peru
🔄
68'
A. Ugarriza ↔ A. Valera
Peru
🔄
78'
I. Violante ↔ R. Alvarado
Mexico
🔄
78'
A. Fidalgo ↔ S. Sandoval
Mexico
🔄
79'
O. Pineda ↔ H. Camberos
Mexico
🔄
80'
M. Huaman ↔ O. Sonne
Peru
🔄
84'
J. Velez ↔ C. Inga
Peru
🔄
84'
Y. Yotun ↔ J. Concha
Peru

Mexico vs Peru Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 74.2%
Draw 5.4%
Peru Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico2.08
Peru0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
26 GF / 6 GA
Peru Peru
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.43
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
2.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 14 matches
Peru Peru 5 matches
Mexico Statistic Peru
10 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
26 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 12
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.43 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
4 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 2.2
13.21 Total Shots 6
4.64 Corners 3.2
54.6% Ball Possession 36.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 1 times, Peru won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Mexico's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / Peru 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Mexico wins 1, draws 0, Peru wins 0