TUNISIA LIGUE 1
14.05.2026 15:00
CS Sfaxien
Match Timeline
ES Sahel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
O. Ben Ali
CS Sfaxien
🔄
24'
E. Ogbole ↔ M. S. Mhadhebi
CS Sfaxien
29'
O. Ben Ali
CS Sfaxien
🟨
32'
O. Abid
ES Sahel
🟨
37'
N. Hnid
ES Sahel
45'
A. Maaloul
CS Sfaxien
🔄
46'
M. Bouzaabia ↔ G. Naouali
ES Sahel
🔄
46'
M. Diawara ↔ M. Senghor
ES Sahel
🔄
46'
Z. Boutmene ↔ M. Bouslama
ES Sahel
🔄
58'
M. Chaabani ↔ Cristo
ES Sahel
🟨
68'
M. Senghor
ES Sahel
🔄
73'
M. Trabelsi ↔ A. Taifour
CS Sfaxien
🔄
73'
R. Derbali ↔ Y. Habchia
CS Sfaxien
82'
O. Abid
ES Sahel
🔄
83'
T. Mutyaba ↔ N. Karoui
CS Sfaxien
🟨
84'
M. Bouslama
ES Sahel

CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
58.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CS Sfaxien Win 80.2%
Draw 0%
ES Sahel Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
CS Sfaxien1.2
ES Sahel0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien
WWDLW
40 GF / 12 GA
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WLDWL
27 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 29 matches
ES Sahel ES Sahel 29 matches
CS Sfaxien Statistic ES Sahel
17 Wins 11
8 Draws 8
4 Losses 10
40 Goals For 27
12 Goals Against 27
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
8 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 4
20 Clean Sheets 14
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around CS Sfaxien's more proactive style and ES Sahel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CS Sfaxien arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 59 points compared to ES Sahel in 6 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward ES Sahel. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Sahel having the stronger overall control. ES Sahel arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CS Sfaxien Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 59 points from 29 games, CS Sfaxien bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Ben Ali (9 goals), H. Baccar (7 goals), E. Ogbole (6 goals), with creative support from A. Maaloul (5 assists), O. Ben Ali (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

ES Sahel Analysis

ES Sahel approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 41 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 27:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Aouani (4 goals), M. Chaabani (3 goals), M. Anane (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Seghaier (1 assists), Cristo (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CS Sfaxien won 5 times, ES Sahel won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from CS Sfaxien's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: CS Sfaxien 4-2-1-3 / ES Sahel -
H2H summary: CS Sfaxien wins 5, draws 5, ES Sahel wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation