BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Governador Magalhães Pinto
Referee: F. Rodrigues
Cruzeiro
Match Timeline
Chapecoense-sc
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Eduardo Doma
Chapecoense-sc
27'
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
VAR
34'
Luis Sinisterra
Cruzeiro
🔄
39'
Eduardo Doma ↔ Vinicius Eduardo
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
41'
Rafael Carvalheira
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
46'
Marcinho ↔ Mauricio Garcez
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
48'
Kaique Kenji
Cruzeiro
🔄
64'
Kenji ↔ Christian
Cruzeiro
🔄
66'
Everton ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
66'
Vinicius Balieiro ↔ Higor Meritao
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
71'
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
Chapecoense-sc
73'
L. Sinisterra · Assist: Christian
Cruzeiro
🔄
78'
L. Sinisterra ↔ Bruno Rodrigues
Cruzeiro
79'
Joao Paulo · Assist: Bruno Pacheco
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
81'
↔ Jean Carlos
Chapecoense-sc
VAR
90+1'
Maurício Garcez
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
90+6'
Kaua Moraes ↔ Fagner
Cruzeiro
🔄
90+6'
L. Romero ↔ Matheus Henrique
Cruzeiro
🔄
90+6'
Kaio Jorge ↔ N. Villarreal
Cruzeiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 5.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
5.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 100%
Draw 0%
Chapecoense-sc Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.51
Chapecoense-sc1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WWDLW
25 GF / 29 GA
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
WLDWL
16 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
2
12
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
7
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 21 matches
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 15 matches
Cruzeiro Statistic Chapecoense-sc
7 Wins 1
7 Draws 6
7 Losses 8
25 Goals For 16
29 Goals Against 30
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 2
12 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.4
12.81 Total Shots 13
4.48 Corners 3.87
54.7% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chapecoense-sc. Chapecoense-sc arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruzeiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chapecoense-sc in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chapecoense-sc having the stronger overall control. Cruzeiro arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 20 points compared to Chapecoense-sc in 20 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cruzeiro Analysis

Cruzeiro sit 13 with 20 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:26 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Christian (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (3 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), with creative support from L. Romero (3 assists), Christian (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chapecoense-sc Analysis

With 9 points from 15 games and a place of 20, Chapecoense-sc still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:30, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through W. Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Neto Pessoa (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Carlos (2 assists), Bruno Pacheco (2 assists), W. Clar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 6 times, Chapecoense-sc won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Chapecoense-sc 3-4-3
Missing players: Cruzeiro 4, Chapecoense-sc 5
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 6, draws 4, Chapecoense-sc wins 5
Stats
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
473 Total passes 243
428 Passes accurate 196
2.75 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cruzeiro
Formation
Chapecoense-sc
Otavio Costa
Otavio Costa
Kaua Moraes
Kaua Moraes
Fabricio Bruno
Fabricio Bruno
Jonathan Jesus
Jonathan Jesus
Kaiki
Kaiki
Gerson
Gerson
L. Romero
L. Romero
Kenji
Kenji
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
L. Sinisterra
L. Sinisterra
Kaio Jorge
Kaio Jorge
Anderson
Anderson
Eduardo Doma
Eduardo Doma
Bruno Leonardo
Bruno Leonardo
Joao Paulo
Joao Paulo
Everton
Everton
Vinicius Balieiro
Vinicius Balieiro
Rafael Carvalheira
Rafael Carvalheira
Bruno Pacheco
🎯
Bruno Pacheco
Enio
Enio
Y. Bolasie
Y. Bolasie
Marcinho
Marcinho
Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
81
Otavio Costa
G
2
Kaua Moraes
↓ 90+6'
D
15
Fabricio Bruno
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
6
Kaiki
D
11
Gerson
M
29
L. Romero
↓ 90+6'
M
70
Kenji
↓ 64' 🟨 48'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
M
17
L. Sinisterra
⚽ 73' ↓ 78'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
⚽ 27' ↓ 90+6'
F
Substitutes
31
Matheus Cunha
G
23
Fagner
↑ 90+6'
D
25
L. Villalba
D
94
Wanderson
F
91
Chico
F
9
Bruno Rodrigues
↑ 78'
F
7
Marquinhos
F
16
Lucas Silva
M
88
Christian
🎯 73' ↑ 64'
M
8
Matheus Henrique
↑ 90+6'
M
43
Joao Marcelo
D
22
N. Villarreal
↑ 90+6'
M
Chapecoense-sc 3-4-3
Starting XI
98
Anderson
G
3
Eduardo Doma
↓ 39' 🟨 -5'
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
4
Joao Paulo
⚽ 79'
D
26
Everton
↓ 66'
M
17
Vinicius Balieiro
↓ 66'
M
99
Rafael Carvalheira
🟨 41'
M
91
Bruno Pacheco
🎯 79'
M
97
Enio
F
11
Y. Bolasie
F
7
Marcinho
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
Rafael Santos
G
20
Jean Carlos
↑ 81'
M
37
W. Clar
D
2
Marcos Vinicius
↑ 66'
D
5
Joao Vitor
M
77
Italo
F
10
Giovanni Augusto
M
18
Neto Pessoa
F
22
Higor Meritao
↑ 66'
M
31
Mauricio Garcez
↑ 46'
F
35
Vinicius Eduardo
↑ 39' 🟨 71'
D
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
0
2
L
Last matches: Chapecoense-sc
04.07.26
Fri
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
0
4
L
22.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
3
3
D
05.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
4
2
W
H2H: Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc
24.05.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
0
2
W
25.11.20
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
0
1
W
21.08.20
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
L
13.10.19
H2H
Chapecoense-SC
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
26.05.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-SC
1
2
L
21.10.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
3
0
W
09.06.18
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
2
0
L
10.09.17
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
1
2
W
04.06.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
2
L
02.06.17
H2H
Chapecoense-SC
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
04.05.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-SC
1
0
W
16.10.16
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
30.06.16
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
3
2
L
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
25.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
1
1
D
06.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cruzeiro
24.05.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
21.08.20
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
L
26.05.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-SC
1
2
L
21.10.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
3
0
W
04.06.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
2
L
04.05.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-SC
1
0
W
16.10.16
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
Last matches: Chapecoense-sc
04.07.26
Fri
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
0
2
L
12.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
H2H away: Chapecoense-sc
24.05.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
21.08.20
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
W
21.10.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
3
0
L
04.06.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
2
W
16.10.16
H2H
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Cruzeiro 4 missing
-
Cassio
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Kaua Prates
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
K. Arroyo
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
William Furtado
Missing Fixture Personal Reasons
OUT
Chapecoense-sc 5 missing
-
Robert Conceicao
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Rafael Thyere
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Kauan
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Victor Caetano
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
Camilo Reijers
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT