BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Referee: B. Vasconcelos
Criciuma
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Thiaguinho
Criciuma
VAR
16'
Waguininho
Criciuma
29'
Waguininho
Criciuma
🟨
32'
Waguininho
Criciuma
🟨
33'
Marcelo Benevenuto
Sport Recife
🟨
35'
Pedro Victor Martins
Sport Recife
🔄
46'
Thiaguinho ↔ Jean Irmer
Criciuma
🔄
46'
de Pena Carlos ↔ Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
46'
Pedro Martins ↔ Fabio Matheus
Sport Recife
🟨
51'
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
🟨
57'
César Martins
Criciuma
🟨
59'
Jean Irmer
Criciuma
🔄
63'
Cesar Martins ↔ Bruno Alves
Criciuma
🔄
63'
R. Otero ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
76'
Marcelo Ajul ↔ Marlon Douglas
Sport Recife
🔄
79'
Waguininho ↔ Romarinho
Criciuma
🔄
83'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Yago Felipe
Sport Recife
🔄
83'
Madson ↔ Augusto
Sport Recife
🔄
90+3'
Gui Lobo ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 40.1%
Draw 18.7%
Sport Recife Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma0.97
Sport Recife1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
17 GF / 11 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
8
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
5
3.73
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 15 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 15 matches
Criciuma Statistic Sport Recife
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 7
2 Losses 2
17 Goals For 18
11 Goals Against 11
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
8 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 3
3.73 Shots On Goal 4.2
13.33 Total Shots 13.4
6.33 Corners 5
52.1% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sport Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sport Recife.

Criciuma Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 24 points from 14 games, Criciuma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 16:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 25 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 17:9 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Perotti (4 goals), Carlos De Pena (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), Marlon (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 3 times, Sport Recife won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Criciuma's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-2-1 / Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 3, draws 4, Sport Recife wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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