BRAZIL SERIE B
21.09.2026 22:30
Estadio Heriberto Hülse
Referee: Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn

Criciuma vs Operario-PR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.5%
1.14
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.28
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 3-0
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 46.3%
Draw 20.2%
Operario-PR Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.12
Operario-PR1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
39 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.39
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
16
6
Over 2.5
18
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 28 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 28 matches
Criciuma Statistic Operario-PR
13 Wins 12
8 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
28 Goals For 39
25 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 20
6 Over 2.5 18
3 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 6
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.36
13.21 Total Shots 14.18
6.43 Corners 4.75
52.3% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Operario-PR in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Operario-PR. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Criciuma Analysis

With 47 points from 28 games and a place of 5, Criciuma still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 28:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Operario-PR Analysis

So far, Operario-PR have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 43 points from 27 matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 36:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Boschilia (10 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinícius Diniz (4 goals), with creative support from Boschilia (3 assists), Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 1 times, Operario-PR won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Criciuma's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-3 / Operario-PR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 1, draws 2, Operario-PR wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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