BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 59.7%
Draw 7%
Goias Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.21
Goias0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
23 GF / 12 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
21 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.05
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
9
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 20 matches
Goias Goias 20 matches
Criciuma Statistic Goias
11 Wins 8
7 Draws 5
2 Losses 7
23 Goals For 21
12 Goals Against 26
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
9 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 6
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.45
13.1 Total Shots 10.9
6.1 Corners 4.45
51.2% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Goias in 10 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Goias.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Goias Analysis

So far, Goias have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 29 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (4 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 3 times, Goias won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Criciuma's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-3 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 3, draws 6, Goias wins 6
Last matches: Criciuma
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: Goias
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H: Criciuma vs Goias
07.04.26
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
L
25.10.25
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
2
L
08.07.25
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
1
D
18.03.22
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
L
01.11.18
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
2
2
D
13.07.18
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
2
1
L
31.10.17
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
1
D
15.07.17
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
31.08.16
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
1
D
25.05.16
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
3
1
W
14.09.14
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
27.04.14
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
L
06.10.13
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
1
D
14.07.13
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
0
0
D
12.09.12
H2H
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
L
Last matches: Criciuma
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
H2H at home: Criciuma
25.10.25
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
2
L
01.11.18
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
2
2
D
15.07.17
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
25.05.16
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
3
1
W
14.09.14
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
14.07.13
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
0
0
D
Last matches: Goias
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
25.10.25
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
2
W
01.11.18
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
2
2
D
15.07.17
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
L
25.05.16
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
3
1
L
14.09.14
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
L
14.07.13
H2H
Criciuma
Goias
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
9 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
10
Goias Away
20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
11 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
12 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
15 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
16 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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