Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
Goias
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
21 matches
Goias
21 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.52 |
| 13.1 | Total Shots | 11.05 |
| 6.1 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 51.8% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Goias in 10 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Goias.
Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
So far, Goias have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 29 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (4 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 4 times, Goias won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Criciuma's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Criciuma
4
3
6
3
6
2
Lineups
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Goias
São Bernardo
Goias
Cuiaba
Goias
Juventude
Goias
Londrina
Goias
America Mineiro
Goias
Sport Recife
Goias
Ponte Preta
Goias
CRB
Goias
Ceara
Goias
Nautico Recife
Goias
Operario-PR
Goias
Athletic Club
Goias
Novorizontino
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
Avai
Goias
Botafogo SP
Goias
Vila Nova
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Goias
São Bernardo
Goias
Cuiaba
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Goias
Cuiaba
Goias
America Mineiro
Goias
Ponte Preta
Goias
CRB
Goias
Nautico Recife
Goias
Athletic Club
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
Avai
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Goias
São Bernardo
Goias
Juventude
Goias
Londrina
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Criciuma
Home
|
24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Goias
Away
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|