Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
76.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
23 matches
Fortaleza EC
23 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 6 |
| 25 | Goals For | 25 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 0.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.74 | Shots On Goal | 4.09 |
| 13.09 | Total Shots | 13.78 |
| 6.3 | Corners | 5.52 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortaleza EC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Fortaleza EC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 43 points after 22 outings. The return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 24:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 36 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 1 times, Fortaleza EC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Criciuma's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Fortaleza EC
Away
|
29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Criciuma
Home
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|