BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Referee: L. Holanda
Criciuma
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Natã
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
16'
Paulo Vítor
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
17'
César Martins
Criciuma
🟨
44'
Diego Gonçalves
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Jhonata Robert ↔ R. Otero
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Waguininho ↔ Nicolas
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Cristiano ↔ Igor Henrique
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
55'
Marcinho
Criciuma
59'
Nicolas · Assist: R. Otero
Criciuma
61'
Ewerthon · Assist: Geovany Soares
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
67'
Ewerthon
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
76'
Leandro Vilela ↔ Matheus Indio
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
77'
Marcinho ↔ Willean Lepo
Criciuma
🔄
77'
Diego Goncalves ↔ Hiago Alves
Criciuma
🔄
77'
Ruan Carvalho ↔ Joao Carlos
Criciuma
🔄
77'
Marrony ↔ Assis
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
86'
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
87'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
90+4'
Guilherme ↔ Gustavo Daniel
Atletico Goianiense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
Atletico Goianiense Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.08
Atletico Goianiense0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 8 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 8 matches
Criciuma Statistic Atletico Goianiense
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
9 Goals For 8
7 Goals Against 8
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
3.63 Shots On Goal 3.38
12.88 Total Shots 11.75
6 Corners 5.25
50.1% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Criciuma's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Goianiense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Atletico Goianiense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control.

Criciuma Analysis

So far, Criciuma have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 12 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Bruno Alves (3 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), Caue Santos (1 goals), with creative support from Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Atletico Goianiense have collected 11 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (3 goals), Leo Jaco (2 goals), Guilherme (1 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), Geovany Soares (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 6 times, Atletico Goianiense won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Criciuma's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-2-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 6, draws 3, Atletico Goianiense wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
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