BRAZIL SERIE B
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Referee: R. Junior

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
1.36
BTTS No
71.7%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
1.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 38.4%
Draw 13.3%
Criciuma Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.16
Criciuma1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
35 GF / 34 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
25 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
13
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
4
5.46
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 24 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 24 matches
CRB Statistic Criciuma
10 Wins 12
6 Draws 8
8 Losses 4
35 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 17
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
13 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 4
8 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 5
5.46 Shots On Goal 3.79
17.08 Total Shots 13.46
5 Corners 6.46
51.5% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Criciuma. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CRB come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 36 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (12 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Mikael (3 assists), Thiaguinho (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 44 points after 23 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 25:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 4 times, Criciuma won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from CRB's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 4, draws 4, Criciuma wins 7
Last matches: CRB
25.08.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
1
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
0
0
D
11.08.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
Last matches: Criciuma
23.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
H2H: CRB vs Criciuma
26.04.26
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
L
21.09.25
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
1
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
1
L
27.06.23
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
2
1
L
27.08.22
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
0
D
14.05.22
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
3
0
L
18.10.19
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
0
1
W
24.07.19
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
2
0
W
10.11.18
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
3
3
D
24.07.18
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.09.17
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
1
2
L
09.06.17
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
1
0
L
04.09.16
H2H
Criciuma
CRB
1
1
D
27.05.16
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
2
1
W
Last matches: CRB
16.08.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
0
0
D
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
H2H at home: CRB
18.05.25
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
1
L
27.08.22
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
0
D
24.07.19
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
2
0
W
24.07.18
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.09.17
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
1
2
L
27.05.16
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
2
1
W
Last matches: Criciuma
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
18.05.25
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
1
W
27.08.22
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
0
D
24.07.19
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
2
0
L
24.07.18
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.09.17
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
1
2
W
27.05.16
H2H
CRB
Criciuma
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.85
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.28
Draw 2.07
Home 2.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.53
Over 2.0 1.73
Over 2.25 2.05
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 2.75 2.76
Over 3.5 4.24
Under 0.5 6.82
Under 1.5 2.83
Under 1.75 2.48
Under 2.0 2.11
Under 2.25 1.79
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.5 1.21
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.20
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.05
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.25
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 2.82
Home 2.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.68
Draw 1.80
Home 3.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 2.21
Home 2.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.23
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 2.01
Over 2.5 2.31
Over 2.75 2.61
Over 3.0 3.32
Over 3.25 3.62
Over 3.5 4.05
Over 3.75 5.15
Over 4.0 7.60
Over 4.25 8.00
Over 4.5 8.50
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.45
Under 0.75 5.89
Under 1.0 5.30
Under 1.25 3.42
Under 1.5 2.66
Under 1.75 2.33
Under 2.0 2.01
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.26
Under 3.25 1.21
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 3.75 1.10
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.15
Home 2.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.04
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.38
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 1.96
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 2.75 2.63
Over 3.5 4.10
Over 4.5 8.50
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.0 2.12
Under 2.25 1.80
Under 2.5 1.61
Under 2.75 1.45
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.04

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7
CRB Home
24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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