BRAZIL SERIE B
30.08.2026 21:00
Estádio Rei Pelé
Referee: R. Junior
CRB
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
42'
Diego Gonçalves
Criciuma
43'
Crystopher Ribeiro
CRB
🟨
45+1'
Rodrigo Fagundes
Criciuma
45'
Diego Goncalves · Assist: Willean Lepo
Criciuma
58'
Danielzinho
CRB
🟨
63'
Guilherme Lobo
Criciuma
🔄
63'
Eduardo ↔ Ronald Lopes
Criciuma
🔄
63'
Bruno Alves ↔ Romarinho
Criciuma
🔄
70'
Danielzinho ↔ Geovane
CRB
🟨
76'
Thiaguinho
CRB
🔄
76'
Gui Lobo ↔ Thiaguinho
Criciuma
🔄
76'
R. Otero ↔ Yuri Tanque
Criciuma
🔄
78'
Thiaguinho ↔ Vinicius Barata
CRB
🔄
78'
Mikael ↔ Douglas Baggio
CRB
🔄
81'
Diego Goncalves ↔ Hiago Alves
Criciuma
🔄
84'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Fabio Alemao
CRB
🔄
84'
Pedro Castro ↔ Luizao
CRB
VAR
90+9'
Yuri
Criciuma

CRB vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
1.36
BTTS No
71.7%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 38.4%
Draw 13.3%
Criciuma Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.16
Criciuma1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
35 GF / 34 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
25 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
13
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
4
5.46
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 24 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 24 matches
CRB Statistic Criciuma
10 Wins 12
6 Draws 8
8 Losses 4
35 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 17
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
13 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 4
8 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 5
5.46 Shots On Goal 3.79
17.08 Total Shots 13.46
5 Corners 6.46
51.5% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Criciuma. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CRB come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 36 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (12 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Mikael (3 assists), Thiaguinho (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 44 points after 23 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 25:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 4 times, Criciuma won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from CRB's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 4, draws 4, Criciuma wins 7

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7
CRB Home
29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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