BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Coritiba
Match Timeline
Palmeiras
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Mauricio · Assist: R. Sosa
Palmeiras
🟨
15'
Ramón Sosa
Palmeiras
19'
Mauricio
Palmeiras
🟨
38'
Alexander Barboza
Palmeiras
🟨
45'
Thiago Santos
Coritiba
🔄
46'
S. Gomez ↔ Vini Paulista
Coritiba
🔄
59'
J. Lavega ↔ Lucas Ronier
Coritiba
🔄
65'
Bruno Melo ↔ Felipe Jonatan
Coritiba
🔄
65'
Renato Marques ↔ Paulo Roberto
Coritiba
67'
R. Sosa · Assist: J. Piquerez
Palmeiras
68'
Paulo Roberto · Assist: Josue
Coritiba
🔄
77'
Tinga ↔ B. Ocampo
Coritiba
🔄
77'
Thiago Santos ↔ Joao Pedro Chermont
Coritiba
🟨
79'
Khellven
Palmeiras
🔄
79'
Mauricio ↔ E. Martinez
Palmeiras
🔄
80'
J. Arias ↔ Riquelme Fillipi
Palmeiras
🔄
90+1'
R. Sosa ↔ Heittor Vinicius
Palmeiras
🔄
90+1'
Andreas Pereira ↔ Lucas Evangelista
Palmeiras

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Coritiba Win 33.8%
Draw 14%
Palmeiras Win 52.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coritiba1.1
Palmeiras1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coritiba Coritiba
WWDLW
24 GF / 24 GA
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WLDWL
40 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
8
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
11
3.28
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coritiba Coritiba 18 matches
Palmeiras Palmeiras 24 matches
Coritiba Statistic Palmeiras
7 Wins 15
5 Draws 7
6 Losses 2
24 Goals For 40
24 Goals Against 18
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
8 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 2
3.28 Shots On Goal 4.83
10.17 Total Shots 14.42
3.22 Corners 6.04
38.7% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Coritiba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Palmeiras. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palmeiras carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 41 points while Coritiba sit 7 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Coritiba Analysis

Coritiba sit 7 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 24:24 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by Breno Lopes (8 goals), J. Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (7 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Palmeiras Analysis

Palmeiras come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 41 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 30:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. Lopez (6 goals), Allan Elias (4 goals), G. Gomez (3 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), J. Lopez (3 assists), Allan Elias (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 6 times, Palmeiras won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Coritiba's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Coritiba 4-2-3-1 / Palmeiras 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Coritiba wins 6, draws 1, Palmeiras wins 8
Stats
Coritiba Coritiba
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
11 Shots outsidebox 8
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
436 Total passes 435
384 Passes accurate 379
0.66 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Coritiba
Formation
Palmeiras
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
Tinga
Tinga
Tiago Coser
Tiago Coser
Jacy
Jacy
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos
S. Gomez
S. Gomez
J. Lavega
J. Lavega
Josue
🎯
Josue
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes
Renato Marques
Renato Marques
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel
Murilo
Murilo
G. Gomez
G. Gomez
A. Barboza
A. Barboza
Khellven
Khellven
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas
J. Piquerez
🎯
J. Piquerez
J. Arias
J. Arias
Mauricio
⚽ 2
Mauricio
R. Sosa
🎯
R. Sosa
Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
Pedro Rangel
G
2
Tinga
↓ 77'
D
23
Tiago Coser
D
55
Jacy
D
26
Bruno Melo
↓ 65'
D
21
Thiago Santos
↓ 77' 🟨 45'
M
19
S. Gomez
↓ 46'
M
7
J. Lavega
↓ 59'
M
10
Josue
🎯 68'
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
78
Renato Marques
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
Pedro Morisco
G
3
Maicon
D
20
Keno
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
↑ 65'
D
17
B. Ocampo
↑ 77'
F
11
Lucas Ronier
↑ 59'
F
36
Vini Paulista
↑ 46'
F
44
Joao Pedro Chermont
↑ 77'
D
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
39
Gustavo
M
18
Paulo Roberto
⚽ 68' ↑ 65'
M
50
Tissi
Palmeiras 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
Carlos Miguel
G
26
Murilo
D
15
G. Gomez
D
2
A. Barboza
🟨 38'
D
12
Khellven
🟨 79'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
↓ 90+1'
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
22
J. Piquerez
🎯 67'
M
11
J. Arias
↓ 80'
F
18
Mauricio
⚽ 9' ⚽ 19' ↓ 79'
F
19
R. Sosa
⚽ 67' 🎯 9' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 15'
F
Substitutes
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
21
Kaique Pereira
G
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martinez
↑ 79'
M
37
Riquelme Fillipi
↑ 80'
56
Arthur Gabriel
D
39
Heittor Vinicius
↑ 90+1'
F
30
Lucas Evangelista
↑ 90+1'
M
43
Benedetti
D
48
Larson
M
45
Erick Bele
M
29
M. C. Bilong
Last matches: Coritiba
31.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
Last matches: Palmeiras
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
H2H: Coritiba vs Palmeiras
22.07.26
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
22.10.23
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
0
2
L
04.06.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
L
06.10.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
4
0
L
12.06.22
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
0
2
L
17.02.21
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
0
W
14.10.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
1
3
W
18.09.17
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
1
0
L
07.06.17
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
0
W
24.09.16
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
2
1
L
16.06.16
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
2
D
29.11.15
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
0
2
W
12.08.15
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
1
W
23.11.14
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
0
W
24.08.14
H2H
Palmeiras
Coritiba
1
0
L
Last matches: Coritiba
31.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H at home: Coritiba
22.07.26
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
22.10.23
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
0
2
L
12.06.22
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
0
2
L
17.02.21
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
0
W
07.06.17
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
0
W
16.06.16
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
2
D
12.08.15
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
1
W
23.11.14
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
0
W
Last matches: Palmeiras
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
13.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
H2H away: Palmeiras
22.07.26
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
W
22.10.23
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
0
2
W
12.06.22
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
0
2
W
17.02.21
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
0
L
07.06.17
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
0
L
16.06.16
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
2
D
12.08.15
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
1
L
23.11.14
H2H
Coritiba
Palmeiras
2
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 5 2 38:16 22 47
W L W W W
2 20 11 6 3 37:18 19 39
D D W W L
3 21 11 4 6 28:19 9 37
D W W W W
4 21 9 7 5 30:25 5 34
D D D D L
5 21 8 8 5 29:25 4 32
D D D W W
6 20 9 4 7 26:20 6 31
D D W W W
7 21 8 6 7 27:30 -3 30
W L W D W
8 20 8 5 7 34:32 2 29
W D W L D
9 21 7 8 6 22:20 2 29
D D W W W
10 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
W D W L W
11 21 7 6 8 25:28 -3 27
L D L L W
12 20 7 5 8 25:23 2 26
D L L D L
13 21 7 5 9 22:31 -9 26
L L D W L
14 20 6 5 9 23:27 -4 23
W D W L W
15 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
D L W L L
16 21 5 7 9 23:27 -4 22
D L L L L
17 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
D L L W D
18 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
D L L L L
19 21 5 6 10 24:34 -10 21
L W L W L
20 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10
?
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation