BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: P. Alves
Confiança
Match Timeline
Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Joao Pedro
Confiança
🟨
23'
Gabriel Zeca
Confiança
🟨
45+4'
Ze Mario
Santa Cruz
🟨
88'
Marcos Andre
Santa Cruz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
59.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
73.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 0%
Draw 23.4%
Santa Cruz Win 76.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.27
Santa Cruz0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
0 GF / 3 GA
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 3 matches
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 3 matches
Confiança Statistic Santa Cruz
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
0 Goals For 2
3 Goals Against 2
0 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
0 BTTS Yes 1
0 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Santa Cruz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança sit - with - points after - matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

Santa Cruz Analysis

Santa Cruz sit - with - points after - matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through Marcos Andre (1 goals), Tiago Marques (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. In football terms they often show a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 1 times, Santa Cruz won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Confiança's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 1, draws 3, Santa Cruz wins 2

Lineups

Confiança
Formation
Santa Cruz
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Weriton
Weriton
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
PK
PK
Iago Silva
Iago Silva
Gabriel Souza
Gabriel Souza
Israel
Israel
Eurico
Eurico
William Alves
William Alves
Ze Mario
Ze Mario
Pedro Favela
Pedro Favela
Wagner Balotelli
Wagner Balotelli
Regis
Regis
Ronald
Ronald
Tiago Marques
Tiago Marques
Renato
Renato
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Weriton
3
Lucas Cunha
4
Icaro
13
Renilson
6
Kelvyn
7
Danielzinho
8
Gabriel Zeca
🟨 23'
9
Joao Pedro
⚽ 10'
10
PK
11
Iago Silva
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
5
Lorran
14
Eduardo Moura
15
Paulo Henrique
16
Marcelo Nunes
17
Fabricio
18
Guilherme Nunes
19
Wendel
20
Matheus Juliao
21
Andrey Quintino
22
Mateus Ludke
99
Sassa
Santa Cruz 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Gabriel Souza
14
Israel
3
Eurico
4
William Alves
31
Ze Mario
🟨 45+4'
5
Pedro Favela
8
Wagner Balotelli
22
Regis
17
Ronald
23
Tiago Marques
19
Renato
Substitutes
1
Thiago Coelho
2
Thiago Ennes
6
Alex Ruan
7
Fabinho
9
Quirino
16
Rodrigues
18
Vitinho
20
Patrick Allan
26
Silva
27
Edson Miranda
29
Marcos Andre
🟨 88'
30
Jefferson Bahia
Last matches: Confiança
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
Last matches: Santa Cruz
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
07.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
0
0
D
18.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
2
1
W
03.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
1
2
L
H2H: Confiança vs Santa Cruz
18.04.26
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
25.07.20
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
11.08.19
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
09.06.19
H2H
Santa Cruz
Confiança
3
1
L
28.07.18
H2H
Santa Cruz
Confiança
4
0
L
28.05.18
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
Last matches: Confiança
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Confiança
18.04.26
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
25.07.20
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
11.08.19
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
28.05.18
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
Last matches: Santa Cruz
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
07.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Horizonte
0
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
0
0
D
08.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviario
1
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sousa
1
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Central SC
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz RN
0
0
D
20.04.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Treze
1
0
W
H2H away: Santa Cruz
18.04.26
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
L
25.07.20
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
11.08.19
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
28.05.18
H2H
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
1
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 10 5 3 2 15:10 5 18
L D W L W
3 10 5 3 2 13:10 3 18
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 17:13 4 17
L L W L W
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L W W W
6 10 5 1 4 12:12 0 16
W L L L L
7 10 4 4 2 10:9 1 16
W D W W D
8 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D W D
9 10 4 3 3 9:7 2 15
W D D W W
10 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W L W D
11 10 4 2 4 19:21 -2 14
D L D W L
12 10 4 2 4 7:9 -2 14
W W W L D
13 10 4 2 4 10:14 -4 14
W W D L W
14 10 3 4 3 9:11 -2 13
D D D L W
15 10 3 2 5 13:16 -3 11
D L L L L
16 10 2 5 3 12:10 2 11
L D L D D
17 10 3 1 6 11:15 -4 10
D W L L L
18 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
19 10 1 4 5 8:15 -7 7
D L D W D
20 10 1 2 7 6:14 -8 5
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation