12.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.1%
1.36
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.89
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Comerciantes Unidos Win 43.8%
Draw 21.2%
Sport Huancayo Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Comerciantes Unidos1.45
Sport Huancayo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WWDLW
35 GF / 37 GA
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WLDWL
33 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
17
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
17
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 27 matches
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 25 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Statistic Sport Huancayo
7 Wins 8
10 Draws 5
10 Losses 12
35 Goals For 33
37 Goals Against 42
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
17 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 4
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.48
13.56 Total Shots 14.88
3.6 Corners 4.56
48% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Huancayo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Comerciantes Unidos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos sit 11 with 29 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 32:33, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Matías Sen (5 goals), Rodrigo Vilca (3 goals), Josuee Herrera (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Vilca (3 assists), Josuee Herrera (3 assists), Mathías Carpio (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

Sport Huancayo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 26 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats with a 31:41 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronal Huaccha (4 goals), Nahuel Luján (3 goals), Piero Magallanes (3 goals), with creative support from Nahuel Luján (3 assists), Diego Carabaño (3 assists), Piero Magallanes (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 6 times, Sport Huancayo won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:26 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: Comerciantes Unidos 4-4-2 / Sport Huancayo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Comerciantes Unidos wins 6, draws 3, Sport Huancayo wins 6

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 8 2 41:16 25 53
D L D W D
2 25 13 7 5 41:26 15 46
D W W W D
3 25 13 6 6 35:23 12 45
W W W D W
4 25 12 6 7 43:28 15 42
W L D W L
5 25 13 3 9 38:36 2 42
W W L W L
6 25 12 5 8 34:42 -8 41
L L L L D
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 25 9 7 9 27:25 2 34
L W W D D
10 25 9 5 11 43:38 5 32
W L L W D
11 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
12 25 7 9 9 34:35 -1 30
D L W L W
13 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
14 25 8 5 12 33:42 -9 29
W W L L D
15 25 6 7 12 23:35 -12 25
L L W D L
16 25 6 6 13 38:49 -11 24
L W L L W
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2