Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
50.4%
|
1.60 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.85 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
73.5%
|
1.06 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.38 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Comerciantes Unidos
25 matches
FC Cajamarca
24 matches
| Comerciantes Unidos | Statistic | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 12 |
| 31 | Goals For | 35 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 3.43 |
| 13.39 | Total Shots | 10.04 |
| 3.57 | Corners | 2.83 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Cajamarca in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Cajamarca. FC Cajamarca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Comerciantes Unidos are currently 11 in the standings with 26 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 27:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matías Sen (5 goals), Josuee Herrera (2 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Josuee Herrera (3 assists), Rodrigo Vilca (3 assists), Mathías Carpio (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 21 points from 22 games and a place of 16, FC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 32:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Hernán Barcos (4 goals), Brandon Palacios (4 goals), Mauricio Arrasco (3 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Enciso (3 assists), Hernán Barcos (2 assists), Ricardo Lagos (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 times, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.
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