26.09.2026 13:30
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colwyn Bay Win 80.1%
Draw 4.2%
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 15.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colwyn Bay1.75
Haverfordwest County AFC1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WWDLW
31 GF / 22 GA
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
7
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 16 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 13 matches
Colwyn Bay Statistic Haverfordwest County AFC
9 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 6
31 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 19
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
7 BTTS Yes 4
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colwyn Bay's more proactive style and Haverfordwest County AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Colwyn Bay come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haverfordwest County AFC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Haverfordwest County AFC. Colwyn Bay arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 19 points compared to Haverfordwest County AFC in 11 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Colwyn Bay Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Colwyn Bay have collected 19 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 20:14 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Haverfordwest County AFC have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 7:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Colwyn Bay won 1 times, Haverfordwest County AFC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Colwyn Bay's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Colwyn Bay wins 1, draws 1, Haverfordwest County AFC wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 26:4 22 28
W W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 20:8 12 24
W W W W D
3 10 7 1 2 33:11 22 22
W D W W L
4 10 7 1 2 23:7 16 22
W W L D W
5 10 7 1 2 25:16 9 22
L D W L W
6 10 6 1 3 20:14 6 19
W W W L W
7 10 5 1 4 18:14 4 16
L D L W L
8 10 5 0 5 17:15 2 15
W L L W W
9 10 4 3 3 17:20 -3 15
L W W D D
10 9 4 2 3 19:11 8 14
L D D W W
11 9 3 1 5 7:14 -7 10
W W D W L
12 10 2 2 6 9:19 -10 8
D L L L L
13 10 0 3 7 4:24 -20 3
D L L D L
14 10 0 3 7 7:28 -21 3
L D L L L
15 10 0 2 8 8:24 -16 2
L L D L L
16 10 0 1 9 11:35 -24 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)