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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.10.2026 19:30
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 60.8%
Draw 12.8%
Toronto FC Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.61
Toronto FC1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
51 GF / 50 GA
Toronto FC Toronto FC
WLDWL
56 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
23
BTTS Yes
26
22
Over 2.5
23
4.57
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 matches
Toronto FC Toronto FC 35 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic Toronto FC
11 Wins 11
6 Draws 13
16 Losses 11
51 Goals For 56
50 Goals Against 60
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
23 BTTS Yes 26
29 Over 1.5 31
22 Over 2.5 23
12 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 6
4.57 Shots On Goal 4.43
12.8 Total Shots 12.03
5.33 Corners 4.9
55.6% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Toronto FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Toronto FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toronto FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Toronto FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew are currently 13 in the standings with 32 points from 29 matches. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 44:47 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Habroune (4 goals), Diego Rossi (4 goals), Brais Méndez (4 goals), with creative support from M. Farsi (4 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Toronto FC Analysis

With 33 points from 29 games and a place of 11, Toronto FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 44:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Sargent (5 goals), D. Sallói (4 goals), Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sallói (5 assists), T. Corbeanu (4 assists), K. Franklin (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 7 times, Toronto FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 3-4-3 / Toronto FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 7, draws 3, Toronto FC wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 7 3 64:23 41 67
D W W W W
2 30 15 10 5 73:51 22 55
W W W L D
3 30 16 4 10 49:41 8 52
W W L L W
4 30 14 6 10 52:44 8 48
L L W W W
5 30 13 8 9 53:45 8 47
D L W L W
6 30 13 7 10 61:48 13 46
D W W W W
7 30 12 5 13 58:70 -12 41
W D W L L
8 30 10 6 14 39:56 -17 36
L L W L W
9 29 9 9 11 60:70 -10 36
L L W L D
10 30 8 12 10 46:55 -9 36
W D W L L
11 30 10 5 15 46:47 -1 35
W W L W W
12 30 8 10 12 43:41 2 34
D L L D L
13 29 7 12 10 37:51 -14 33
L W L D L
14 30 8 6 16 37:51 -14 30
L W L D W
15 30 6 7 17 36:60 -24 25
D L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)