🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 35.6%
Draw 19%
New England Revolution Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.37
New England Revolution1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
33 GF / 36 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
48 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
17
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
17
3.65
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 23 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 25 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic New England Revolution
6 Wins 12
6 Draws 4
11 Losses 9
33 Goals For 48
36 Goals Against 32
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
17 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
3.65 Shots On Goal 3.9
10.15 Total Shots 10.55
4.65 Corners 4
51.7% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by New England Revolution's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New England Revolution. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and New England Revolution in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Columbus Crew sit 12 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew sit 12 with 20 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 28:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 33 points after 20 matches. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carles Gil (6 goals), Dor Turgeman (2 goals), Luca Langoni (2 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 7 times, New England Revolution won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / New England Revolution 4-3-3
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 7, draws 5, New England Revolution wins 3
Last matches: Columbus Crew
19.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
15.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
Last matches: New England Revolution
19.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
3
0
W
15.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
1
2
L
08.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
0
2
L
01.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
4
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
0
1
L
16.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
1
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1
1
D
22.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
1
3
L
15.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
6
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
1
4
L
H2H: Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
18.04.26
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
2
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
0
1
W
12.10.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
4
0
W
29.06.24
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
1
5
W
04.10.23
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
1
2
W
15.04.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
0
0
D
07.05.22
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
18.09.21
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
03.07.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
2
2
D
17.05.21
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
1
0
L
06.12.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
0
W
06.04.19
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
0
W
09.03.19
H2H
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
0
2
W
Last matches: Columbus Crew
19.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
H2H at home: Columbus Crew
23.08.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.10.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
4
0
W
15.04.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
0
0
D
03.07.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
0
W
06.04.19
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
0
W
Last matches: New England Revolution
19.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
3
0
W
15.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
1
2
L
01.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
0
1
L
25.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1
1
D
22.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
1
4
L
H2H away: New England Revolution
23.08.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
W
12.10.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
4
0
L
15.04.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
0
0
D
03.07.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
0
L
06.04.19
H2H
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2 20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3 19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4 20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5 20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6 20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7 20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8 20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9 20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11 20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12 20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13 20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14 20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)