🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
30.08.2026 20:30
Lower.com Field
Referee: Jon Freemon, USA
Columbus Crew
Match Timeline
New England Revolution
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Brais Méndez · Assist: Mohamed Farsi
Columbus Crew
🟨
25'
Tarun Karumanchi
Columbus Crew
32'
Matt Polster · Assist: Mamadou Fofana
New England Revolution
41'
Dor Turgeman · Assist: Carles Gil
New England Revolution
🔄
62'
Josef Martínez ↔ Gonzalo Tapia
Columbus Crew
🔄
62'
Tarun Karumanchi ↔ Cesar Ruvalcaba
Columbus Crew
VAR
75'
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
🟨
78'
Alhassan Yusuf
New England Revolution
79'
Carles Gil · Assist: Peyton Miller
New England Revolution
🔄
87'
Dor Turgeman ↔ Wilson Harris
New England Revolution
🔄
89'
André Gomes ↔ Dylan Chambost
Columbus Crew
🔄
89'
Jack Harrison ↔ Ilay Feingold
New England Revolution
🔄
90'
Eric Bailly ↔ Andres Herrera
Columbus Crew
🔄
90'
Brais Méndez ↔ Lautaro Giaccone
Columbus Crew
🔄
90'
Alhassan Yusuf ↔ Jackson Yueill
New England Revolution
🔄
90'
Carles Gil ↔ Diego Fagúndez
New England Revolution

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.4%
1.70
BTTS Yes
86%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.70
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.6%
1.28
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 35.6%
Draw 19%
New England Revolution Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.38
New England Revolution1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
49 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
18
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
17
3.76
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 26 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic New England Revolution
6 Wins 12
6 Draws 5
12 Losses 9
35 Goals For 49
39 Goals Against 33
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
18 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
3.76 Shots On Goal 4.33
11.05 Total Shots 11.67
5.1 Corners 4.52
54.6% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by New England Revolution's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New England Revolution. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and New England Revolution in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Columbus Crew sit 12 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew sit 12 with 20 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 28:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 33 points after 20 matches. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carles Gil (6 goals), Dor Turgeman (2 goals), Luca Langoni (2 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 7 times, New England Revolution won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / New England Revolution 4-3-3
Missing players: Columbus Crew 3, New England Revolution 4
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 7, draws 5, New England Revolution wins 3

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)