🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 52.5%
Draw 6.7%
Colorado Rapids Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.43
Colorado Rapids1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
36 GF / 42 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
38 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
19
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
13
3.52
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 25 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 26 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic Colorado Rapids
6 Wins 11
6 Draws 2
13 Losses 13
36 Goals For 38
42 Goals Against 37
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
19 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 6
3.52 Shots On Goal 4.05
10 Total Shots 12
4.67 Corners 5.09
51.8% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Colorado Rapids carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 28 points while Columbus Crew sit 15 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Colorado Rapids in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colorado Rapids having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colorado Rapids. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 20 points from 21 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:36, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids sit 7 with 28 points after 21 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 30:28 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rafael Navarro (6 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 4 times, Colorado Rapids won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 4, draws 3, Colorado Rapids wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 4 2 47:17 30 52
W W W W D
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W L L
5 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
6 22 8 7 7 49:51 -2 31
L D W D W
7 22 7 7 8 36:31 5 28
D D L L D
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 7 4 11 37:54 -17 25
D W L D L
10 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
11 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 22 5 5 12 31:39 -8 20
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)