🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: A. Villarreal
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
58'
H. Ojediran ↔ J. Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🔄
62'
W. Frederick ↔ D. Phillip
Colorado Rapids
🔄
62'
D. Sealy ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids
🔄
64'
F. Torres ↔ E. Torres
Austin
🔄
64'
O. Wolff ↔ I. Sanchez
Austin
🟨
70'
E. Torres
Austin
🟨
72'
J. Rosales
Austin
🔄
74'
J. Gallagher ↔ J. Nelson
Austin
🔄
74'
B. Sabovic ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
80'
B. Vazquez ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
85'
R. Cannon ↔ A. Harris
Colorado Rapids
🔄
85'
G. Minoungou ↔ K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🟨
90+3'
M. Uzuni
Austin
90+4'
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🟨
90+5'
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 75.5%
Draw 12.3%
Austin Win 12.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.63
Austin1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
33 GF / 34 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
29 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
15
4
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 21 matches
Austin Austin 25 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic Austin
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 7
12 Losses 12
33 Goals For 29
34 Goals Against 43
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 9
4 Shots On Goal 4.06
10.35 Total Shots 10.65
4.65 Corners 4.41
54.5% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Austin in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Austin. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Colorado Rapids still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:24 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (5 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Austin Analysis

With 17 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Austin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 6 times, Austin won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-3-3 / Austin 3-4-3
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 6, draws 2, Austin wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)