ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Colon Santa Fe
Match Timeline
San Telmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
E. Diaz
San Telmo
🔄
26'
F. Roncaglia ↔ G. Paredes
San Telmo
🟨
41'
L. Pollacchi
San Telmo
🟨
55'
J. Porto
San Telmo
🟨
56'
C. Nunez
San Telmo
🔄
56'
J. Porto ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🟨
60'
M. Peinipil
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
61'
F. Lertora ↔ M. Munoz
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
61'
L. Allende ↔ F. Garcia
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
68'
G. Paredes
San Telmo
🔄
70'
I. Antonio ↔ A. Toledo
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
72'
P. Barrios
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
76'
L. Garate ↔ J. Buosi
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
78'
J. C. Enrico
San Telmo
79'
I. Lago
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
83'
P. Romero ↔ R. Gamarra
San Telmo
🔄
83'
C. Nunez ↔ F. Baez
San Telmo
🔄
83'
M. Batallini ↔ J. Zurbriggen
San Telmo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colon Santa Fe Win 80.6%
Draw 5.6%
San Telmo Win 13.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe1.15
San Telmo0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 23 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 22 matches
Colon Santa Fe Statistic San Telmo
9 Wins 5
9 Draws 8
5 Losses 9
28 Goals For 18
19 Goals Against 23
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
10 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colon Santa Fe's more proactive style and San Telmo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Telmo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control. Colon Santa Fe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 35 points compared to San Telmo in 15 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Colon Santa Fe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 35 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 27:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

San Telmo Analysis

With 20 points from 21 games and a place of 15, San Telmo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 17:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Colon Santa Fe won 1 times, San Telmo won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:8 from Colon Santa Fe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Colon Santa Fe wins 1, draws 0, San Telmo wins 5

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 26 5 7 14 19:32 -13 22
L L D L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation