ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
29.08.2026 18:00
Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
Match Timeline
Deportivo Maipu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
F. Zicarelli
Colegiales
🟨
26'
F. Marin
Colegiales
🟨
48'
J. de la Reta
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
54'
L. Juarez
Colegiales
🔄
57'
L. Juarez ↔ L. Gonzalez
Colegiales
🔄
66'
F. Zicarelli ↔ M. Mamani
Colegiales
🔄
66'
M. Albertengo ↔ N. Toloza
Colegiales
🔄
70'
J. Gobetto ↔ A. Vera
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
70'
L. Cabrera ↔ J. Giacone
Deportivo Maipu
75'
N. Galardi
Colegiales
🔄
76'
T. Silva ↔ J. Nazar
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
76'
M. Bonfigli ↔ M. Viguet
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
78'
J. Nazar
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
81'
Colegiales
Colegiales
🔄
82'
F. Montiel ↔ E. Insua
Colegiales
🔄
82'
L. Castillo ↔ E. Ocampo
Colegiales
🔄
87'
J. de la Reta ↔ N. Fernandez
Deportivo Maipu

Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds 2.09
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.8%
2.09
BTTS Yes
71%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.84
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 54.8%
Draw 4.9%
Deportivo Maipu Win 40.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.95
Deportivo Maipu1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WLDWL
35 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 25 matches
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 28 matches
Colegiales Statistic Deportivo Maipu
8 Wins 12
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 11
23 Goals For 35
25 Goals Against 28
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Deportivo Maipu's more proactive style and Colegiales's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Maipu. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Maipu having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Colegiales Analysis

Colegiales sit 11 with 30 points after 24 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 23:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

So far, Deportivo Maipu have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 35 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 33:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 1 times, Deportivo Maipu won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Colegiales's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Colegiales 4-1-4-1 / Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 1, draws 0, Deportivo Maipu wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation