ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.09.2026 23:00
Estadio de Colegiales

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 88%
Draw 6%
Chacarita Juniors Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.99
Chacarita Juniors0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
29 GF / 30 GA
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
WLDWL
22 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 30 matches
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 30 matches
Colegiales Statistic Chacarita Juniors
11 Wins 8
7 Draws 6
12 Losses 16
29 Goals For 22
30 Goals Against 31
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
10 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
13 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colegiales's more proactive style and Chacarita Juniors's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chacarita Juniors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chacarita Juniors having the stronger overall control. Chacarita Juniors arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Colegiales arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 40 points compared to Chacarita Juniors in 17 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Colegiales Analysis

So far, Colegiales have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 40 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Chacarita Juniors Analysis

Chacarita Juniors approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 27 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 19:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 1 times, Chacarita Juniors won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Colegiales's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Colegiales 4-1-4-1 / Chacarita Juniors -
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 1, draws 2, Chacarita Juniors wins 4

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation