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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
24.10.2026 11:00
Avnet-Arena

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1. FC Magdeburg Win 72%
Draw 4.7%
Karlsruher SC Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Magdeburg2.11
Karlsruher SC1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
WWDLW
29 GF / 16 GA
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
WLDWL
23 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
11
5.5
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 13 matches
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 16 matches
1. FC Magdeburg Statistic Karlsruher SC
8 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
3 Losses 8
29 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 31
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
7 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 6
5.5 Shots On Goal 5.88
15.13 Total Shots 16.13
5.38 Corners 6.63
53.5% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by 1. FC Magdeburg's more proactive style and Karlsruher SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Karlsruher SC. 1. FC Magdeburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 13 points compared to Karlsruher SC in 18 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Magdeburg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Karlsruher SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karlsruher SC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Karlsruher SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

1. FC Magdeburg Analysis

1. FC Magdeburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 13 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Iyoha (5 goals), A. Nollenberger (3 goals), M. Żukowski (3 goals), with creative support from B. Atik (4 assists), A. Nollenberger (1 assists), L. Hyryläinen (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Karlsruher SC Analysis

Karlsruher SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 5 points from 7 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:14, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Moritz Broschinski (2 goals), Rafael Pinto Pedrosa (1 goals), S. Fukuda (1 goals), with creative support from M. Wanitzek (2 assists), L. Egloff (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 2 times, Karlsruher SC won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from 1. FC Magdeburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3 / Karlsruher SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: 1. FC Magdeburg wins 2, draws 3, Karlsruher SC wins 5

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 8 4 3 1 22:13 9 15
W D W L D
4 8 4 3 1 8:4 4 15
W D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 15:15 0 14
L D D W W
6 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W D W L
7 8 2 5 1 11:9 2 11
D W D W D
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L D
9 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
10 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W L D D L
11 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L D D L W
13 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
W L L L D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
D L W L D
15 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L W L D L
16 8 2 1 5 5:9 -4 7
L L L D W
17 8 2 1 5 8:18 -10 7
L W L W L
18 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
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