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24.10.2026 11:00
Helsingor Stadion
Referee: J. Nielsen
Hillerød
Match Timeline
Aalborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
T. Arndal
Hillerød
🟨
10'
K. Normann
Aalborg
🟨
12'
W. Glindtvad
Hillerød
⚽
21'
V. Moller · Assist: M. Kubel
Aalborg
🟨
55'
H. Derrar
Hillerød
🔄
60'
T. Arndal ↔ M. Munck
Hillerød
🔄
60'
B. Kucukylidiz ↔ M. Mouritz
Hillerød
🔄
60'
M. Tielemans ↔ A. Hapnes
Aalborg
🔄
60'
K. Normann ↔ W. Thomsen
Aalborg
🟨
63'
H. Sulemana
Hillerød
🔄
67'
S. Opoku ↔ R. Corlu
Hillerød
🔄
67'
H. Sulemana ↔ P. Kallsberg
Hillerød
🔄
77'
V. Moller ↔ M. Kaasa
Aalborg
🔄
77'
J. Adedeji ↔ K. John
Aalborg
⚽
79'
F. Borsting
Hillerød
🟨
80'
F. Borsting
Aalborg
🔄
81'
M. Julo ↔ A. Hoyer
Hillerød
🟨
82'
E. Makolli
Aalborg
🔄
84'
F. Borsting ↔ J. Hvistendahl
Aalborg

Hillerød vs Aalborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hillerød Win 34.3%
Draw 15.1%
Aalborg Win 50.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hillerød1.37
Aalborg1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hillerød Hillerød
L L D W D
3 GF / 5 GA
Aalborg Aalborg
L D W D D
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
15
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hillerød Hillerød 22 matches
Aalborg Aalborg 21 matches
Hillerød Statistic Aalborg
3 Wins 8
7 Draws 7
12 Losses 6
27 Goals For 32
40 Goals Against 33
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
15 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aalborg. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aalborg having the stronger overall control.

Hillerød Analysis

So far, Hillerød have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 9 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aalborg Analysis

Aalborg arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 10 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Hillerød won 0 times, Aalborg won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Hillerød's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: Hillerød wins 0, draws 2, Aalborg wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 5 0 24:13 11 29
D D W W W
2 14 7 6 1 26:16 10 27
W D D W L
3 14 6 5 3 21:10 11 23
L W L W W
4 14 6 3 5 21:15 6 21
W L W W W
5 13 4 6 3 12:11 1 18
W D D L L
6 14 3 7 4 17:19 -2 16
D D L L D
7 13 4 4 5 16:23 -7 16
D D L D L
8 13 3 6 4 16:17 -1 15
W L W D D
9 13 3 3 7 15:20 -5 12
L W L L D
10 14 2 6 6 20:26 -6 12
D L D L W
11 14 2 6 6 14:24 -10 12
L D D L L
12 13 2 5 6 16:24 -8 11
D W D D L
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs