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MEXICO › LIGA MX
26.10.2026 03:00
Estadio Caliente

Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Tijuana Win 38.9%
Draw 27.2%
Santos Laguna Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Tijuana1.36
Santos Laguna1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WLDWL
21 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
4.18
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 matches
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 15 matches
Club Tijuana Statistic Santos Laguna
5 Wins 7
5 Draws 1
3 Losses 7
19 Goals For 21
17 Goals Against 18
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
8 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
4.18 Shots On Goal 4.75
13.27 Total Shots 14.58
4.91 Corners 7
45.3% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santos Laguna. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Tijuana expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Santos Laguna in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santos Laguna having the stronger overall control. Santos Laguna look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Club Tijuana Analysis

So far, Club Tijuana have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 16 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mourad (4 goals), G. Mora (3 goals), I. Rivero (2 goals), with creative support from J. Vega (2 assists), G. Mora (1 assists), Adonis Preciado (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Santos Laguna Analysis

Santos Laguna are currently 8 in the standings with 16 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 17:16 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez (5 goals), E. Bullaude (2 goals), Fran Villalba (2 goals), with creative support from E. Bullaude (3 assists), M. Cuevas (3 assists), Fran Villalba (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Tijuana won 4 times, Santos Laguna won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Club Tijuana's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.8%)
Predicted formations: Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1 / Santos Laguna 3-4-3
H2H summary: Club Tijuana wins 4, draws 2, Santos Laguna wins 9

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 27:14 13 24
W D W D L
2 12 6 3 3 26:16 10 21
D L D L W
3 12 6 3 3 19:18 1 21
W D W D L
4 12 5 5 2 19:12 7 20
D D L D W
5 12 6 2 4 27:21 6 20
W D D L W
6 11 6 2 3 15:13 2 20
L W W D W
7 12 5 3 4 18:17 1 18
L D W D W
8 11 5 2 4 19:16 3 17
W D L W D
9 12 5 1 6 17:16 1 16
W W W W W
10 11 4 4 3 15:14 1 16
D D L D L
11 12 4 4 4 19:20 -1 16
W D L D L
12 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D D L D L
13 12 3 5 4 14:16 -2 14
D W W L D
14 12 3 4 5 19:16 3 13
L D L D W
15 12 3 4 5 16:21 -5 13
D L W W L
16 12 2 5 5 13:19 -6 11
L L W D L
17 12 2 3 7 15:25 -10 9
L D L L L
18 12 1 1 10 8:31 -23 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)