05.09.2026 21:30
Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia
Referee: D. Benitez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
2 de Mayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
A. D. Aguilera · Assist: F. M. Caceres Aguero
2 de Mayo
VAR
15'
R. Amarilla
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
17'
F. Aragon
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
38'
Daniel Angel Aguilera
2 de Mayo
🟨
40'
Alexis Doldán
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
46'
C. Saiz ↔ C. G. Ramirez Perdesen
2 de Mayo
🔄
46'
A. D. Aguilera ↔ O. Romero
2 de Mayo
🔄
46'
H. Riquelme ↔ A. Gomez
2 de Mayo
🔄
59'
M. Gomez ↔ T. Cervera
2 de Mayo
🟨
61'
Tobías Gabriel Portillo Ávalos
2 de Mayo
VAR
64'
Alberto Espinola
2 de Mayo
🟨
66'
Franco Aragón
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
67'
O. Romero
2 de Mayo
🔄
69'
K. Ferreira Gonzalez ↔ K. Fernandez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
76'
Cesar Castro
2 de Mayo
🔄
80'
T. G. Portillo Avalos ↔ A. Aguayo
2 de Mayo
🟨
81'
A. Aguayo
2 de Mayo
🔄
85'
G. Gerzel ↔ H. Villamayor
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
85'
M. Aguero ↔ S. Salcedo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
90+5'
Ó. Romero
2 de Mayo
🔄
90+6'
R. Amarilla ↔ B. Machuca
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
90+6'
F. Aragon ↔ F. Rivas
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.5%
1.83
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.35
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.69
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-3
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 21.5%
Draw 6%
2 de Mayo Win 72.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0.82
2 de Mayo1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
WWDLW
16 GF / 56 GA
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WLDWL
32 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.53
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
13
1.43
Shots on Goal
2.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 30 matches
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 34 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Statistic 2 de Mayo
3 Wins 11
7 Draws 13
20 Losses 10
16 Goals For 32
56 Goals Against 43
0.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 10
1.43 Shots On Goal 2.82
6 Total Shots 10.12
2.47 Corners 3.38
24.3% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around 2 de Mayo's more proactive style and Club Sp. San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. 2 de Mayo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 14 points while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Club Sp. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward 2 de Mayo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring 2 de Mayo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 with 1 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 1:9 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

2 de Mayo Analysis

2 de Mayo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 14 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 7:3, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fernando Cáceres (2 goals), Oscar Romero (1 goals), Camilo Saiz (1 goals), with creative support from Oscar Romero (1 assists), Cesar Castro (1 assists), Ángel Aguilera (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 6 times, 2 de Mayo won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:8 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2 / 2 de Mayo 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 6, draws 1, 2 de Mayo wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)