30.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Referee: D. Lopez
Club Guarani
Match Timeline
Sportivo Ameliano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
C. Ocampos · Assist: E. Paez
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
51'
Walter Rodriguez
Sportivo Ameliano
53'
M. Lopez · Assist: J. Llano
Club Guarani
🔄
63'
E. Moreira ↔ V. Larralde
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
63'
W. Rodriguez ↔ J. Benitez
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
63'
E. Paez ↔ L. Ortiz
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
69'
Luca Andrea Falabella
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
69'
M. Lopez ↔ L. Martinez
Club Guarani
🔄
70'
J. Garcia ↔ V. Cespedes
Club Guarani
🔄
76'
A. Mendez ↔ M. Anasco
Club Guarani
🔄
76'
C. Ocampos ↔ R. Torales
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
77'
J. Llano ↔ G. Gomez
Club Guarani
🔄
80'
R. O. Rodriguez Echeverria ↔ A. Barbotte
Club Guarani
🔄
80'
L. Ayala ↔ F. Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
90+2'
Victor·Cespedes
Club Guarani

Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.6%
Odds 2.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.88
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.6%
2.28
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.88
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.26
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.55
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Club Guarani Win 50.6%
Draw 16.9%
Sportivo Ameliano Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Guarani1.06
Sportivo Ameliano1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
WLDWL
35 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
10
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Guarani Club Guarani 30 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 28 matches
Club Guarani Statistic Sportivo Ameliano
9 Wins 10
11 Draws 12
10 Losses 6
34 Goals For 35
31 Goals Against 27
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
14 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 5
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.68
10.6 Total Shots 11.64
3.97 Corners 3.89
45.6% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Sportivo Ameliano's more proactive style and Club Guarani's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Ameliano. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Guarani Analysis

Placed 5 with 7 points from 5 outings, Club Guarani continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Diego Fernández (1 goals), Fernando Fernández (1 goals), Patricio Coronel (1 goals), with creative support from Maximiliano Añasco (1 assists), Matías López (1 assists), René Rodríguez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Placed 4 with 9 points from 6 outings, Sportivo Ameliano continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Estivel Moreira (2 goals), Raúl Cabral (1 goals), Richard Torales (1 goals), with creative support from Fabián Franco (1 assists), Carlos Favero (1 assists), Bruno López (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Guarani won 4 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Club Guarani's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Club Guarani 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Guarani wins 4, draws 8, Sportivo Ameliano wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 18:11 7 22
W W L D W
2 10 6 3 1 12:8 4 21
L W D W D
3 10 6 1 3 17:9 8 19
W W D W W
4 10 5 3 2 15:6 9 18
W L W W W
5 10 5 2 3 18:9 9 17
W L W L D
6 10 4 4 2 12:11 1 16
W W L D W
7 10 4 2 4 13:10 3 14
D W W D L
8 10 3 5 2 11:9 2 14
D W D D D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
L L W L D
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 10 0 1 9 3:18 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)