07.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Referee: B. Romero
Club Guarani
Match Timeline
Deportivo Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
P. Coronel
Club Guarani
20'
Juan Manuel García
Club Guarani
🔄
45'
Nicolas Marotta ↔ Dairon Mosquera
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
45'
Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez ↔ Pedro David Ríos Galeano
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
67'
P. Coronel ↔ Diego·Fernandez
Club Guarani
🔄
67'
José Espínola ↔ Alejandro Silva
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
67'
Carlos Arrua ↔ Victor·Cespedes
Club Guarani
🔄
67'
Paul Charpentier ↔ R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
77'
Juan Manuel García ↔ Jorge Recalde
Club Guarani
82'
T. Servín
Club Guarani
🔄
86'
Matías Julian López Estigarribia ↔ J. Llano
Club Guarani
🔄
86'
Armando Méndez ↔ R. Rodríguez
Club Guarani
🔄
87'
Wilfrido Baez ↔ Juan Falcon
Deportivo Recoleta

Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
2.04
BTTS Yes
86%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.90
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.7%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Club Guarani Win 57.7%
Draw 14.9%
Deportivo Recoleta Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Guarani1.35
Deportivo Recoleta1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WWDLW
36 GF / 33 GA
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WLDWL
47 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
16
BTTS Yes
23
13
Over 2.5
21
3.69
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Guarani Club Guarani 32 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 30 matches
Club Guarani Statistic Deportivo Recoleta
9 Wins 10
13 Draws 5
10 Losses 15
36 Goals For 47
33 Goals Against 50
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
16 BTTS Yes 23
20 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 12
12 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 3
3.69 Shots On Goal 3.6
10.78 Total Shots 10.2
4.09 Corners 3.67
45.9% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Guarani expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Recoleta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Guarani Analysis

So far, Club Guarani have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 8 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Diego Fernández (1 goals), Fernando Fernández (1 goals), Patricio Coronel (1 goals), with creative support from Maximiliano Añasco (1 assists), Matías López (1 assists), René Rodríguez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

Deportivo Recoleta sit 10 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Héctor López (2 goals), Aldo Gonzalez (1 goals), Wilfrido Baez (1 goals), with creative support from Aldo Gonzalez (1 assists), Wilfrido Baez (1 assists), Paul Charpentier (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Club Guarani won 6 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Club Guarani's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Club Guarani 4-1-4-1 / Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
H2H summary: Club Guarani wins 6, draws 0, Deportivo Recoleta wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
3 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
4 10 6 1 3 17:9 8 19
W W D W W
5 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
6 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 10 4 2 4 13:10 3 14
D W W D L
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
L L W L D
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 10 0 1 9 3:18 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)