Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
42.9%
|
2.02 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.56 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.09 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valerenga
30 matches
Fredrikstad
30 matches
| Valerenga | Statistic | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 10 |
| 57 | Goals For | 42 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.45 | Shots On Goal | 3.9 |
| 16.05 | Total Shots | 11.35 |
| 6.75 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fredrikstad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fredrikstad in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. Fredrikstad look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 22 points from 20 games and a place of 11, Valerenga still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 33:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Haren (8 goals), M. Grundetjern (5 goals), C. Lange (4 goals), with creative support from H. Bjørdal (6 assists), M. Grundetjern (4 assists), K. Finnsson (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Fredrikstad have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 23:30 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (3 goals), B. Thoresen (3 goals), D. Eid (2 goals), with creative support from H. Skogvold (2 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), D. Eid (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 2 times, Fredrikstad won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Valerenga's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 50 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
Away
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Valerenga
Home
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|