12.09.2026 15:30
Estadio Municipal Los Chankas

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96%
1.28
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
1.31
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 50.7%
Draw 4%
FC Cajamarca Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.58
FC Cajamarca1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WWDLW
34 GF / 42 GA
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WLDWL
40 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
13
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
17
4.64
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 25 matches
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 26 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Statistic FC Cajamarca
12 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 13
34 Goals For 40
42 Goals Against 50
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
13 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 7
4.64 Shots On Goal 3.52
12.72 Total Shots 10.52
4.28 Corners 2.88
48.6% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Cajamarca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Deportivo Los Chankas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 41 points compared to FC Cajamarca in 16 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected to line up in 5-3-2 and FC Cajamarca in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 4 with 41 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 34:37, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Quintero (5 goals), Franco Torres (3 goals), O. Takeuchi (2 goals), with creative support from Franco Torres (3 assists), A. Quintana (3 assists), J. Quintero (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 24 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 38:49 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Arrasco (6 goals), B. Palacios (6 goals), Hernán Barcos (4 goals), with creative support from S. Enciso (4 assists), M. Arrasco (3 assists), B. Palacios (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 1 times, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Club Deportivo Los Chankas's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2 / FC Cajamarca 4-4-2
H2H summary: Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 1, draws 0, FC Cajamarca wins 0

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 8 2 41:16 25 53
D L D W D
2 25 13 7 5 41:26 15 46
D W W W D
3 25 13 6 6 35:23 12 45
W W W D W
4 25 12 6 7 43:28 15 42
W L D W L
5 25 13 3 9 38:36 2 42
W W L W L
6 25 12 5 8 34:42 -8 41
L L L L D
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 25 9 7 9 27:25 2 34
L W W D D
10 25 9 5 11 43:38 5 32
W L L W D
11 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
12 25 7 9 9 34:35 -1 30
D L W L W
13 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
14 25 8 5 12 33:42 -9 29
W W L L D
15 25 6 7 12 23:35 -12 25
L L W D L
16 25 6 6 13 38:49 -11 24
L W L L W
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2