Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
57.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.6%
|
- |
Club America
Toluca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Club America
33 matches
Toluca
37 matches
| Club America | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 21 |
| 8 | Draws | 11 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 50 | Goals For | 70 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.09 | Shots On Goal | 5.76 |
| 14.55 | Total Shots | 17.7 |
| 5.76 | Corners | 5.59 |
| 57.2% | Ball Possession | 56.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Toluca. Toluca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 27 points while Club America sit 7 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club America expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Toluca in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toluca having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Club America have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 19 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Rodriguez (10 goals), A. Zendejas (8 goals), R. Aguirre (5 goals), with creative support from B. Rodriguez (6 assists), A. Zendejas (5 assists), I. Violante (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 27 points from 14 outings, Toluca continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, while the 20:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Paulinho (21 goals), Helinho (9 goals), R. Morales (8 goals), with creative support from A. Vega (9 assists), N. Castro (8 assists), Helinho (5 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club America won 6 times, Toluca won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Club America's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Club America
6
3
4
7
3
5
Lineups
Club America
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
Atlas
Club America
Leon
Club America
Nashville SC
Club America
Cruz Azul
Club America
Nashville SC
Club America
Santos Laguna
Club America
Tigres UANL
Club America
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Mazatlán
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Club Queretaro
Club America
FC Juarez
Club America
Tigres UANL
Club America
Puebla
Club America
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
CD Olimpia
Club America
Monterrey
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Toluca
CF Pachuca
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
CF Pachuca
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
Leon
Toluca
Mazatlán
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
Club Queretaro
Toluca
CF Pachuca
Toluca
San Diego
Toluca
Atlas
Toluca
San Diego
Toluca
FC Juarez
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Necaxa
Toluca
Club Tijuana
Club America
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
Atlas
Club America
Nashville SC
Club America
Cruz Azul
Club America
Tigres UANL
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Mazatlán
Club America
FC Juarez
Club America
Tigres UANL
Club America
CD Olimpia
Club America
Monterrey
Club America
Necaxa
Club America
Atletico San Luis
Club America
Monterrey
Club America
Leon
Club America
Puebla
Club America
Santos Laguna
Club America
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
CF Pachuca
Toluca
CF Pachuca
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
Mazatlán
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
Club Queretaro
Toluca
CF Pachuca
Toluca
San Diego
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
Necaxa
Toluca
Puebla
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Monterrey
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Monterrey
Toluca
FC Juarez
Toluca
Atlas
Toluca
Club Tijuana
Toluca
Leon
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Club America
Home
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|