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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Municipal Eva Peron
Ciudad de Bolívar
Match Timeline
San Telmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
R. Uriburu
San Telmo
🟨
24'
E. Navarro
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
32'
Ciudad de Bolívar
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
32'
F. Roncaglia
San Telmo
🟨
33'
N. Molina
San Telmo
🟨
45+1'
R. Dinocco
San Telmo
🔄
52'
M. Batallini ↔ J. Porto
San Telmo
🔄
56'
M. Gutierrez ↔ K. Caraballo
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
76'
F. Mucignat ↔ T. Guiacobini
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
76'
G. Sanchez ↔ F. Ilarregui
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
77'
M. Gonzalez ↔ C. Nunez
San Telmo
🟨
78'
L. Pollacchi
San Telmo
⚽
83'
K. Caraballo
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
88'
A. Gonzalez ↔ B. Quintana
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
88'
R. Uriburu ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🔄
88'
F. Roncaglia ↔ F. Baez
San Telmo

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.2%
1.18 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.33 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
3.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 43.9%
Draw 18.3%
San Telmo Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ciudad de Bolívar0.94
San Telmo0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
28 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 33 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 32 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Statistic San Telmo
11 Wins 9
12 Draws 10
10 Losses 13
27 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 36
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Telmo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8 with 45 points after 32 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Telmo Analysis

So far, San Telmo have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 37 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 28:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 times, San Telmo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ciudad de Bolívar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
H2H summary: Ciudad de Bolívar wins 1, draws 0, San Telmo wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
12 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation