ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal Eva Peron

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.1%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 43.9%
Draw 25.2%
Chaco For Ever Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ciudad de Bolívar0.86
Chaco For Ever0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WWDLW
24 GF / 28 GA
Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever
WLDWL
29 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
0.91
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 31 matches
Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 32 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Statistic Chaco For Ever
9 Wins 9
12 Draws 10
10 Losses 13
24 Goals For 29
28 Goals Against 32
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
14 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chaco For Ever having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chaco For Ever.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Ciudad de Bolívar have collected 39 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, while the 24:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chaco For Ever Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Chaco For Ever have collected 33 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 26:29 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 times, Chaco For Ever won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ciudad de Bolívar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.8%)
Predicted formations: Ciudad de Bolívar 4-4-2 / Chaco For Ever -
H2H summary: Ciudad de Bolívar wins 1, draws 0, Chaco For Ever wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation