ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
12.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal Eva Peron
Ciudad de Bolívar
Match Timeline
Central Norte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
60'
A. Lamosa
Central Norte
🔄
64'
E. Bodencer ↔ M. Moravec
Central Norte
🔄
68'
F. Mucignat ↔ F. Ilarregui
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
81'
T. Castro ↔ A. Bustinduy
Central Norte
🔄
81'
F. Vedoya ↔ J. Mateo
Central Norte
🔄
84'
A. Gonzalez ↔ M. Gutierrez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
84'
K. Caraballo ↔ L. Villegas
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
90+1'
T. Guiacobini ↔ N. Ihitz
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
90+1'
T. Fernandez ↔ T. Rodriguez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
90+1'
S. Quiroga ↔ A. Pucheta
Central Norte

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 72.8%
Draw 11.5%
Central Norte Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ciudad de Bolívar0.89
Central Norte0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WWDLW
24 GF / 27 GA
Central Norte Central Norte
WLDWL
20 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.69
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
12
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 29 matches
Central Norte Central Norte 29 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Statistic Central Norte
9 Wins 6
11 Draws 13
9 Losses 10
24 Goals For 20
27 Goals Against 28
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Ciudad de Bolívar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Central Norte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Norte having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

With 38 points from 27 games and a place of 7, Ciudad de Bolívar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 23:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Central Norte Analysis

With 29 points from 27 games and a place of 14, Central Norte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats with a 19:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 times, Central Norte won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ciudad de Bolívar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Ciudad de Bolívar 4-4-2 / Central Norte -
H2H summary: Ciudad de Bolívar wins 1, draws 0, Central Norte wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 30 16 7 7 48:29 19 55
L W W W D
3 30 15 7 8 38:26 12 52
W W W W L
4 30 13 10 7 44:28 16 49
W L W L W
5 30 13 9 8 38:25 13 48
W L L L W
6 30 12 10 8 23:17 6 46
L D D W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 30 8 13 9 22:20 2 37
L D D D D
10 30 9 9 12 27:29 -2 36
W D W D W
11 30 8 12 10 23:26 -3 36
W W D W L
12 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L L L W D
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 30 6 13 11 19:28 -9 31
L D D D D
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation