Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cienciano
15 matches
Alianza Lima
17 matches
| Cienciano | Statistic | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 30 | Goals For | 29 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.53 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.29 | Shots On Goal | 4.81 |
| 15.36 | Total Shots | 14.25 |
| 5.43 | Corners | 4 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Lima. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Alianza Lima in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Lima having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Lima look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 3 place with 29 points from 14 games, Cienciano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Hohberg (9 goals), C. Garces (9 goals), N. Bandiera (6 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (5 assists), C. Souza Espana (2 assists), G. Aguirre (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Alianza Lima come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 33 points after 14 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 25:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on E. Castillo (8 goals), Paolo Guerrero (4 goals), R. Garces (4 goals), with creative support from E. Castillo (4 assists), J. Velez (3 assists), A. Cantero (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 4 times, Alianza Lima won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Cienciano's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.
Cienciano
2
6
12
1
2
1
Lineups
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
ADT
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Cusco
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
Bolívar
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
ADT
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
Bolívar
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Away
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Cienciano
Home
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|